Business & Financial News

The construction of the Flamanville EPR will not be delayed despite the defects found on parts used to fix a bridge maintenance of the reactor, EDF said Friday.

"This part is stopped but the rest of the site continues," said a spokesman for the French electricity.

EDF said that additional checks are being conducted on these metal pieces, called "console", to assess the nature and their defects back into compliance.

Originally scheduled for 2012, the commissioning of the 1,650 megawatt reactor, has been delayed twice. It is now scheduled for 2016.

"The activities of the EPR site continue normally and the schedule calls for production of the first kilowatt hours in 2016," EDF said in a note.

EDF, the manufacturer of this third generation reactor designed by Areva, estimated at 6 billion euros the total project cost.

In Finland, where the first EPR is being built at Olkiluoto site accuses five years overdue and should be completed in 2014.

The deficit of Spain represented 8.51% of GDP in 2011, said Monday the Finance Minister Cristobal Montoro.

A first estimate gave 8.2% and the upward revision is mainly due to exceedances of regional budgets.

Montoro said that this figure of 8.51% was also provisional and would be circulated for consideration by the European Commission.

The objective of Madrid in 2012 is a deficit of 4.4% of GDP.

In 2010, the deficit represented 9.3% of GDP.

An alliance between General Motors and PSA, again become the world's number one automotive manufacturer would give the French a boost out of Europe and could be the beginning of a solution to the crisis that the two groups across the Old Continent.

Whatever the form, such a comparison would allow PSA, the first French manufacturer and the second European to catch up in Latin America and India, where his difficulties financially res of 2011 forced him to postpone investments and where GM is well established, and would open the doors to a full recovery in the U.S. market.

It would also allow synergies and economies of scale in development and procurement of components. 

"GM would offer in addition to PSA an interesting position in Asia, where it remains the market leader and of course the United States. PSA would give him back his competence on small gasoline engines and on frame (small cars), "summarizes CMC-CIC Securities in a note.

"But there are still several uncertainties (…) This alliance, if it occurs, must proceed rapidly to large reductions in overcapacity in Europe," added the intermediary.

A reconciliation between the two manufacturers, more competitive than complementary in Europe, would in effect add to the 12 assembly plants that PSA currently has on the continent to the eight that account Opel, unless opportunities rationalization arise.

Overcapacity in the European market is estimated around 20%. Applying this arithmetic to 20 plants of PSA and Opel, should close four sites.

FEARS ON THE USE OF LUTON IN MADRID

PSA has been facing for the summer to a fall in sales in Europe, including the city car segment, where the price war is raging. This has led its automotive division into the red last year, the difficulties that echo those of Opel, the European brand of General Motors.

"Opel and PSA are both in trouble because they have excess capacity in small cars in Europe, it is unlikely to us that a reconciliation helps to reduce these pressures, "said Kristina Church, auto analyst at Barclays Capital.

On the sidelines of the launch of production of the new Peugeot 208, Opel Corsa's rival, Philippe Varin, chief executive of SAP, announced in late January it was seeking a partner in commercial vehicles to replace Fiat has not renewed his association with the plant Sevelnord. 

Opel would be an ideal candidate, especially since he will find himself very lonely after the transfer, by his current partner Renault, the production of future truck traffic of their joint plant to that of British Sandouville.

PSA and Opel could also pool their platforms very small city, where the battle on costs is the hardest. Opel Agila produced in Hungary, and PSA Citroen C1 and Peugeot 107 in a Czech factory whose production will be reduced by 18% from May due to degradation of the application.

On the other segments, whose production is more established in France and Germany for PSA for Opel, the subject will be more delicate. Side of the French manufacturer, sites whose future seems most uncertain are those of Aulnay-sous-Bois, which produces C3, and Madrid (C3 and 207).

Opel has meanwhile already closed its plant in Antwerp (Belgium), one of only three car plants that have disappeared or will disappear since the 2008 crisis, with the Sicilian site of Fiat and Mitsubishi plant in the Netherlands.

"Europe remains the key, and any form of alliance with GM, Opel also has its own capacity problems in Europe), PSA will not help," said Kristina Church. "PSA should focus on its own problems in this area (…) even if it probably will not be easy in an election year in France."

The government has already warned that it would be vigilant about the benefits of an alliance in employment, ten days after the controversy surrounding the inauguration a new Renault plant in Morocco.

Post held an extraordinary board Thursday on the topic of financing local government, while negotiations on the resumption of Dexma, a subsidiary of French bank Dexia during dismantling lement, seem to enter their final stretch.

The holding of the Board, initially reported by a director representing the CGT in the public group, was confirmed by a spokesman for The Post.

"An extraordinary Board of Directors of La Poste Group is convened for tomorrow Thursday, February 9 to 16 hours," said Bernard Dupin, the administrator CGT, in a statement specifying that the funding local authorities will be on the agenda. 

The board of directors "will be preceded for employee representatives in a meeting with Mr. Philippe Wahl, chief executive of Bank PO," said Bernard Dupin.

The Deposit must meet on Wednesday its supervisory board to review the case Dexia. The CDC, which had already participated in the rescue of Dexia in 2008, and The Post Bank should take over from the Franco-Belgian bank in this market with the launch, scheduled for mid-2012, a new public bank dedicated to local governments.

Agreement on the resumption of Dexma (Dexia MA), specializing in refinancing loans to local authorities, is crucial in the context of drying of loans to community s French local.

SARKOZY HOLD A CONFERENCE

During question time in the National Assembly, the minister in charge of local authorities reported that the head of state Nicolas Sarkozy Friday held a conference on local finances. 

"The president meets this Friday, February 10 a conference on local government finance which will deepen these topics with associations of local authorities, particularly the partnership with the Deposit and Consignment Office, which must again be examined, "he said and Philippe Richert.

Estimates of Dexia Credit Local, some 10 billion euros in 2012 could fail to secure the financing that French local authorities have required banks deserting the market due of the crisis and the new prudential rules.

In this context, some local governments are forced to abandon or postpone their investment plans. 

The construction group Vinci also does not exclude a decrease in orders from local authorities in the coming months while the new bank created by the Post Bank and the CDC has put in place .

"Because of the lack especially of the great actor that was Dexia to finance local authorities and before the implementation of the actor who is being set up between the Deposit and Post Bank (…), it is possible that over the coming months we observe a decrease in orders from local authorities, "said Xavier Huillard, CEO of Vinci, during a press conference.

The amount of mortgage loans fell by nearly 26% over a year and nearly 50% compared to December. A real "blow". http://www.flickr.com/photos/gcattiaux/

The amount of loans granted by banks recorded a very sharp decline in January, falling 25.7% over the corresponding month of 2011, according to a study by the Housing Credit / CSA published Monday. "The year 2012 did not start very well. In a sluggish economy, the backlash movement anticipation of the end of 2011 is significant," notes the study.

On a monthly basis, the collapse is indeed brutal: -49.4% between December 2011 and January 2012 (after already falling by 34.1% between December 2010 and January 2011). "It's a blow. The fall is comparable to 2009, when the subprime crisis + + U.S., "said Michel Mouillart for AFP, professor of economics at the University of Paris West and industry expert

. For Mr.

Mouillart two decisions specific to the sector in addition to "concerns about rising unemployment, purchasing power and the unfavorable economic outlook". "First of all the strong decrease in the rate (from 22% to 13%) of the tax benefit for investors buying a new home and, in addition, the removal of zero-interest loan (PTZ) for buyers of older homes, "said M . Mouillart

. For the full year 2012, loans granted banks should amount to only 130 billion euros, a drop of almost 20% compared to 2011 (160 billion), far from the high of 2007 (170.2 billion), said Mr. Mouillart. The reversal came after an explosion of these funds since the beginning of the century who had contributed to buoyant property market in France: 70.8 billion in 2001, 87.3 in 2003, 143.7 in 2005 and 170, 2 in 2007.

Interest rates on mortgages continued to rise in January 2012 and have averaged 3.97% against 3.94% in December 2011 and 3.86% in November, a jump of more than 70 points base compared to the lowest level since 1945 (3.25% on average) reached in November 2010, according to Credit Housing.

The Chinese government will send next year a delegation of Chinese investors in Europe to acquire companies. Nicolas Sarkozy and Hu Jintao in Beijing, April 28, 2010. French President visited China for the inauguration of the Expo.

The Chinese government will send next year a delegation of Chinese investors in Europe to "buy European companies," said Chinese Commerce Minister Chen Deming, quoted Tuesday by the newspaper Global Times. "China wants to invest its large trade surplus and will not hold billions of dollars that depreciate," said Chen Deming Monday at a conference in Beijing."We are prepared to further open our market, for example the financial sector, but other savings should in turn be more open to our place," he said, always cited by the Global Times.

The paper does not specify the countries that the Chinese delegation will visit, or the composition of the delegation, or the amount or nature of such acquisitions. China holds huge reserves, which exceeded the end of September 3200 billion. She had invested the same date of $ 1.148 billion in U.S. Treasury bills while according to experts, it holds more than 550 billion sovereign debt of European countries.

European stock markets have reduced their initial losses Thursday mid-morning, investors hope that Greece renounces its proposed referendum on the European aid plan for the country while Angela Merkel and Nicolas Sarkozy launched an ultimatum Wednesday night Athens ordered to implement the overall European level or risk not receiving any help.

At 10:31, the CAC 40 index yields 0.12% after briefly gained 0.3%. The benchmark index of the Paris lost up to 2.6% in early trade.

The London Stock Exchange gained 0.05%, while Frankfurt was down 0.25% and pan-European Euro Stoxx 50 index drops 0.43%.

The agreement snatched in the night between Wednesday and Thursday by leaders of the euro area has temporarily turned off the fire that threatened the single currency but many risks still on the Greek debt restructuring and strengthening of the support fund the euro.

After more than ten hours of the summit, the Heads of State and Government of the single currency agreed with banks to reduce by 100 billion euros Greek debt and endorsed a complex mechanism to bring the firepower the European Financial Stability Fund (EFSF) to 1,000 billion.

European markets jumped and reached their highest level in three months while the euro was appreciating at more than $ 1.40, a value that had not crossed since early September.

But if this complex agreement among the most ambitious concluded since the bursting of the debt crisis in Greece in late 2009, it is nonetheless flawed, full of question marks and carries significant risks on its realization.

The bankers must first confirm their voluntary commitment to participate in the new bailout of Greece – a process that was long winded in the previous program.

Countries in the euro area should then agree on a series of far from trivial details in the implementation of the new EFSF, as the participation of international investors to it.

"I think the main risk would be to wait too long the implementation of these agreements," warned Thursday Ewald Nowotny, a member of the European Central Bank.

"Speed ​​is essential in this case," he told Austrian radio ORF.

GREEK RESTRUCTURING

Three months ago, European leaders had already reached agreement on a major debt reduction Greek involving private creditors, but the delays in implementing the plan and its lack of ambition have quickly rendered inoperative, at least in the eyes of the markets.

Decisions taken at dawn Thursday, finally attacking head-on questions of Greek debt and contagion of the crisis to larger countries such as Italy, Spain or France, are expected to avoid the euro area to repeat the same mistakes.

For Greece, it is expected that the debt be reduced from more than 160% of GDP to 120% in 2020, a level considered sustainable by the European authorities.

To do this, the governments of the euro area will set the table 130 billion euros in loans and guarantees, while private creditors will remove 100 billion from 210 billion euros of Greek securities they hold.

This voluntary contribution, expected to be received by the end of the year will amount to a waiver of 50%, said Nicolas Sarkozy and Angela Merkel, who had to meet in person with representatives of banks and weigh their weight to force the decision.

The Director General of the Institute of International Finance (IIF) Charles Dallara, who represented the banks in the negotiation, welcomed the agreement, which revises the plan of July 21, in which the private sector was engaged only up to 50 billion euros.

As expected, the leaders of twenty-seven have also endorsed the plan to recapitalize banks to the tune of 106 billion euros by June 30, 2012, of which 8.8 billion for French banks.

The plan also provides government guarantees to enable banks to secure funding in the medium and long term, similar to those that were implemented in fall 2008 at the height of the financial crisis.

1.000 BILLION FOR EFSF

Third and final part of the European response to the crisis, Europeans also agreed on a scaling capabilities of the European Financial Stability (EFSF), which could then be brought up to 1.000 billion euros.An initiative likely to reassure markets on its ability to fly, if any, help from countries like Italy or Spain.

The Fund had in its creation of 440 billion euros but the support in Portugal and Ireland and the complex financial arrangements necessary to give it a AAA rating reduced to about 250 billion today its actual capacity remaining.

The leverage will be achieved via a dual mechanism: on the one hand it will provide partial debt issued by troubled countries and, secondly, to create a new "special vehicle" backed by the EFSF and the International Monetary Fund (IMF) with the participation of international investors, such as China and other emerging countries.

Nicolas Sarkozy, who said in Brussels that the Chinese participation was envisaged, met Thursday on the phone with his Chinese counterpart Hu Jintao.

The Director General of EFSF, Klaus Regling, will visit China on Friday to meet with investors.

If he had been excluded from the weekend to leverage the EFSF by providing access to unlimited liquidity to the European Central Bank, the central bank has been active in the preliminary summit.

Providing some relief to markets, the future President of ECB, Mario Draghi, stated Wednesday morning that the bank would remain present in the bond markets as they would be unstable, an expected sign for several days which was welcomed by Nicolas Sarkozy.

"I am not the spokesman for the ECB. The ECB is an independent institution. Mr. Draghi did not interviewed before making that decision, we did have asked for anything, but it is permitted to rejoice in what 'he said, which is quite clear, "he said at a press conference, then insisting on these redemptions of debt.

Between the peaks decisions that decide nothing and unexpected twists, difficult to navigate in the soap extension to the rescue of the euro. L'Expansion. Com reported on what appears achievements and problems that appear before the appointment-critical? – Wednesday. European leaders meeting in Brussels.

While the EU summit Sunday was to end months of indecision and too limited solutions, the world was offered a new appointment on Wednesday to see whether the euro area will finally be saved. Back to what appears to finally being resolved and the problems that remain … or emerging.

What is clear

The discount massive Greek debt

The banking lobby is hoping for a discount of 40%, Brussels wants instead to 50 or 60%.But if negotiations continue on the final figure, the principle of a very significant effacement of the Greek debt appears to act for both parties. To justify this level, Europe is based on a report of the troika, which includes the country's creditors, European Union, ECB and IMF. According to the report, banks must accept losses from 50% to 60% for the country's debt is sustainable. This prospect terrifies but investors in Greece. The Athens Stock Exchange fell Monday. Concerns focus on the consequences of such a discount to banks and pension funds in the country, who hold 15% of Greek sovereign debt. Local employers in turn denounced a decision that would lead to a "devaluation of financial assets and real estate" of the Greeks and "suffocation of the private sector."

The recapitalization of banks

To absorb losses arising from the discount and deal with a possible extension of impairment to Spain and Italy, banks are encouraged to recapitalize. With two options. Either they agree to promote their sovereign debt to market, whereby they are set a target to achieve a capital ratio of hard 9% by mid-2012. Either they refuse, and then have to meet a higher target of 9.5%. According to a European source, this would represent a comprehensive effort to recapitalize "107 or 108 billion euros."The scenario always favors a priority call to the private sector and the public opening of windows and finally, in case of failure the use of a solution through the EFSF.

On French banks, Baroin reiterated on Monday that Europe 1 "may not need to open this window public" and that they would carry out this recapitalization "at the expense of dividends and bonuses" . Christian Noyer, Governor of the Bank of France, for his part spoke of a limited effort at "least ten billion euros."

Strengthening the EFSF

It is unclear exactly how the European financial stability but we know it will not be converted into bank, as called Paris. Berlin vetoed because it would require the fund to refinance with the ECB, that "treaties do not allow," said Chancellor Angela Merkel.Options to leverage the capacity of intervention of EFSF without increasing resources have been reduced to two. First possibility: make a guarantee fund for the obligations of troubled countries (Greece, Italy and Spain) that protects owners up to 20 to 30% of the loan amount. This insurance should put downward pressure on interest rates. Second option on the table: create a special fund to accept contributions from outside investors, and could be backed by the IMF. But as the EU president, Herman Van Rompuy, both options could ultimately be chosen. "Combined, these two models could have a cumulative effect," he said Sunday.

The new problems that emerge

The non-European contribution to EFSF

The proposed involvement of outside investors – outside the euro area – raises some reservations.The fear of other states to mix with European desnquiétudes rise. "The Chinese said they were interested, but some member states are skeptical about the idea of ​​integrating a Chinese contribution to the EFSF," said one diplomat. Which could ultimately leave the field open to the German proposal as EFSF Guarantee Fund.

The payment of the IMF to Greece

To avoid suffocation in the country, the creditors of Athens must pay the sixth installment of the loan of 110 billion euros. But if Europe accepted Friday the payment of its share (5.8 billion), the IMF still has not cleared the release of funds. The Secretary General of the IMF, Christine Lagarde, said Friday she would recommend the Fund to pay the remaining share (2.2 billion).But for this it will be another meeting of the Board of the IMF in November …

The use of Italy EFSF

Italy is under pressure to further reduce its debt and deficits. Prime Minister Silvio Berlusconi was ordered to reach the European summit Wednesday with a detailed road map for further reforms of its economy, particularly on pensions. "This is not to appeal to the solidarity of partners if we do not effort," even said Nicolas Sarkozy. Now Italy has indeed need that help. She is a candidate to benefit from new support program called "precautionary" developed in July. The tool is expected to be able to provide credit lines or to allow the EFSF to buy government debt from one country to investors in the market "secondary" to influence interest rates.Relief Fund would replace the ECB and redeeming debt from the Italian August but warned that it would not do it forever. Except that Europe now poses its terms. Silvio Berlusconi has already given some pledges by suggesting that it might raise the retirement age to 67. It could also speed up privatization to relieve the huge debt the country to 1,900 billion euros.

The Irish budget deficit has reduced by 4 percentage points of GDP since 2009. Corporate profitability recovered sharply. But deleveraging too fast may influence the activity against becoming productive. Pedestrians in Dublin

If Ireland is still part of PIGS, it can not be in the same category as Greece or Portugal, as progress in a few months by former Tiger European are important. The Irish budget deficit – excluding bank recapitalization needs – fell by 4 percentage points of GDP since 2009. The current account deficit turned into a small surplus. Finally, corporate profitability recovered sharply.

The experts of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) of the European Central Bank (ECB) and European Commission, who have just completed their assessment mission in Ireland, are seduced. "The ongoing adjustment is solid.The 2011 budget targets will be achieved and the ongoing structural reforms will also contribute to sanitation, "they note in their report.

However, Ireland is now entering a delicate phase. Or the risk of too rapid deleveraging weigh on activity, against becoming productive. The experts of the IMF, the ECB and the Commission to admit the hint. "Ireland will have to find a balance between the imperatives of debt reduction and limitation of the barriers to growth and job creation," they point out in their report. This sentence harmless and a bit blurry could announce a change in strategy for Ireland. The country needs it, says a recent report by Goodbody Broker.

Make concessions

Indeed, in Ireland, over-indebtedness affects both the public sector, private sector and banks.Simultaneously reducing the three is clearly a bad idea, says the report. If Ireland is determined to meet all objectives at the same time, the evolving recovery will be quickly suppressed. A risk highlighted recently by the Finance Minister Michael Noonan. Especially since the motor only turns in exports. The domestic market remains depressed by lower prices (unit labor costs fell by 15% and commercial property prices have been divided by two).

We must therefore make concessions to one side. But which one? As for households, the government can not do much. The debt reached 220% of disposable income, nearly twice the international average. And fall of financial markets could reduce household net wealth of 250 billion euros. The Irish are going to have to tighten their belts for several years.Make concessions on the public debt is also not in a financial crisis. Ireland recorded a primary deficit of 6% of GDP in 2011. This is the worst result of the euro area.

Remaining banks. They must bring their ratios to 122% loan to deposit by 2013. The challenge today is to allow banks to achieve that clean without excessively penalizing the credit. This will doubtless involve additional time but also further aid from the ECB, economists now believe. Lengthy discussion in perspective.