Business & Financial News

France Telecom has managed to limit the impact on revenues of Free Mobile launch in the first quarter in spite of numerous defections among its customers, tempering the market pessimism on its ability to pass through this turbulence.

The incumbent has suffered a decline in its overall turnover and profit margins as a result of declining revenues in France, whose magnitude was, however, revealed lower than market fears.

The group has particularly benefited from the roaming agreement concluded with the new entrant for the use of its network that pays more than expected at France Telecom.

At 10:50, the title gained 2.3% to 10.48 euros, while the CAC 40 and the European telecoms sector index are 0.96%. 

"The motive in France was stronger than expected," commented analysts at Jefferies in a note, acknowledging also the commercial cost control, remained stable over the period despite increased competition in early January with the launch of Free on the mobile market.

The results of France Telecom, the first operator to provide its quarterly, were eagerly awaited by the market for an initial diagnosis of the impact of entering the fourth on the French market, while France Telecom does not disclose details of its margins by division.

The incumbent has recorded a total loss of 615,000 mobile customers in France during the first three months of the year, a figure to compare to the 219.000 departures recorded on the corresponding period last year.

Applications portability "returned the last two weeks of March to the level before the arrival of Free market," said CFO Gervais Pellissier during a conference call with reporters.

"The customer losses are slightly higher than what we expected but what is most reassuring is that the group indicates that the tumult caused by the arrival of Free market seems to calm down, "said Guy Peddy, Macquarie, which says a bit more optimistic even though" much work remains to be done. " 

NEW PROSPECTS EXPECTED TO SUMMER

Throughout the first quarter, the total turnover stood at 10.92 billion euros, down 1.8%, while adjusted Ebitda stood at 3 , 43 billion (-7.0%), giving a margin of 31.4%, down 1.7 points.

The market expected a turnover of 10.81 billion euros and an EBITDA of 3.45 billion euros, according to Thomson Reuters I / B / E / S.

The group has suffered from the 4.2% decline in sales in France related to the impact of Free mobile subscriber base and its price, which has however been partially offset by income generated by the first roaming agreement concluded with Free Mobile, a subsidiary of Internet service provider Iliad. 

The operator now believes that he should yield about one billion euros over three years against the same amount over six years previously.

France Telecom, which reiterated a target operating cash flow of nearly 8 billion euros in 2012, has however confirmed that he no longer maintained the objectives for the period 2013 to 2015 announced ; s in May 2011 as part of its strategic plan.

"While the arrival of Iliad was expected, the price level at which it is set in January is lower than what we have anticipated in May, or even what we might anticipate yet at last November, "said Gervais Pellissier, adding that the group continued to anticipate an early recovery for next year. 

"We made an appointment to investors in the summer to tell them what would be 2013," he added.

Despite pressure on its margins and its sales, France Telecom does not provide for downsizing in the Hexagon, said the CFO.

Competitors Bouygues and SFR have undertaken a series of measures to reduce costs.

The Belgian economy has resumed growth in the first quarter and was not in recession in the second half of 2011 contrary to what was originally advertised, showed particular are released Wednesday.

The Gross Domestic Product (GDP) grew 0.3% over the first three months of the year compared to last quarter. In annual terms, sales rose 0.5%, announced the Belgian central bank.

In the fourth quarter of 2011, the Belgian economy shrank by 0.1%.

However, the central bank has revised its figures for the third quarter GDP, from -0.1% initially announced, to no growth (0.0%).

This means that Belgium did not ultimately experienced a recession, defined as "technical" recession establishes that at least two consecutive quarters of GDP contraction.

In 2011, Belgium recorded an annual growth of 2%, against an initial estimate of 1.9%.

GDP figures for the euro area for the first quarter will be published May 15, along with those of Germany, France, Italy and the Netherlands. 

In the fourth quarter of 2011, the GDP of the eurozone declined by 0.3%.

This derivative launched by a subsidiary of Deutsche Börse, the heart of a lively political debate in France before the presidential election, opened in fall lst. The trading floor in Frankfurt

The new futures contract on the French debt, in the heart of a lively political debate in France before the presidential election, yielded 0.17% on Monday but was not exchanged at the edge of its first trading day on the market German Eurex. The futures contract maturing in June on the obligations of France stood at 125.80 euros a little before 9:00 (0700 GMT) for a first course to 126.02 euros. Only seven contracts were traded, making it insignificant at this stage of fluctuations. Meanwhile, the 10-year rate of France in the bond market was a slight increase of 2.960% against 2.943% at Friday's close.  

The futures contract was launched by Eurex derivatives specialist and subsidiary of the German stock exchange Deutsche Börse. But several political parties including the Left Front, Europe Ecology-Greens and the National Front, see it as a tool to encourage speculation against the French debt on the eve of presidential elections. Francois Hollande wanted last week that the German authorities "cancel" the introduction of the futures contract, a proposal derided the president candidate Nicolas Sarkozy. For his part, Jean-Pierre Jouyet, President of the Financial Markets Authority (AMF), held that the launch of this product was not a good signal, just days before the first round of French presidential election.

The current account deficit of France widened in February to 5.0 billion euros from 4.4 billion in January, show figures released Thursday by the Bank of France .

The trade deficit in goods rose to 6.6 billion euros against 5.8 billion a month earlier.

Trade in services have in turn generated a positive balance of 1.3 billion euros after 0.7 billion in January.

The balance, positive income decreases to 2.6 billion euros from 3.1 billion in January.

The deficit in current transfers remained stable at 2.3 billion euros.

The financial account was positive at EUR 15.8 billion in February from -2.8 billion in January. 

French direct investment abroad stand at 1.5 billion euros from 4.1 billion a month earlier, while direct investment by non-residents in France rose to 2.6 billion after $ 0.9 billion in January.

Portfolio investments are the source of capital inflows to 18.5 billion euros "mainly due to purchases by non-residents of securities (public and bank) issued France ", according to the Bank of France, after trips to 23.4 billion in January.

The residents have reduced their holdings of 0.3 billion euros (-21.3 billion in January after), while non-residents have made purchases , height of 18.8 billion (-2.1 billion in January after). 

Other investment outflows display of 6.3 billion euros from 26.7 billion of inflows in January.

The gas leak on a Total deposits in the North Sea will be expensive to French oil group, but the situation seems out of proportion to the oil spill in 2010 in the Gulf of Mexico after the explosion of a BP platform.

Analysts polled by Reuters, the cost for Total could be limited to $ 150 million (113 million) if the leak was quickly clogged, or otherwise be at least $ 10 billion if the platform of the Elgin-Franklin field eventually explode.

Total has not ruled on Tuesday that the repair takes several weeks or up to six months, and keen Wednesday the exact cause of the leak. 

The prospect of a distant deadline for resolving the industrial crisis, the worst that Total has seen since the sinking of the Erika in 1999 and the explosion at the AZF factory in 2001, brutally brought down the stock market as Tuesday. The stock has lost 5.96%, leading to the Group's market capitalization plunge of about six billion euros.

Total lost the title still nearly 1% to 38.23 euros on Wednesday afternoon.

"Although it is far too early to make a reliable assessment of the impact of the leak (…) for Total, one can estimate a minimum cost of 150 to 200 million dollars in the best case (limited to two weeks off) or even more if the current situation was to last several months, "CM-CIC Securities.

While the field of Elgin-Franklin alone accounted for 2.5% of total production in 2011, the intermediary also assesses the shortfall for the group between 3 , 6 and 5 million per day shutdown of operations. 

LESS STRICT LAWS IN THE UK

Drilling a relief well could cost him only $ 44 million, assesses his side Exane BNP Paribas.

Analysts at Bank of America Merrill Lynch, if an explosion had finally held, "the impact could reach $ 10 billion" for Total.

This amount includes the loss of deposits and the platform and nearly deus billion to clean up environmental damage, but excludes any fines.

Most observers point out however that the situation on the Elgin-Franklin field is not nearly as critical as that of the Deepwater Horizon, in the Gulf of Mexico, including the explosion and sinking had made eleven dead in April 2010 and resulted in a serious oil spill. 

In total, the British BP has had to make provision for $ 37.2 billion deal with the consequences of this accident.

While nine million barrels of crude oil escaped from the Macondo well drilled on behalf of BP after the accident, analysts point out that only gas and products "light" is e ; chappent the Elgin wells, which should significantly reduce pollution.

Some further notes that the economic activity of the British coast is less important than the U.S. states bordering the Gulf of Mexico and the United Kingdom has not yet introduced legislation involving sanctions as severe as those imposed by the United States in case of water pollution.

"We do not expect major Total incur fines or provisions that must pass (…) As important as those of BP in the case of Macondo, "estimated the Exane BNP Paribas analysts

." This kind of accident is often unpredictable and difficult to resolve. Nevertheless, we think the probability is low to see the leak reach crisis proportions comparable to Deepwater Horizon, "he wrote on his side Fitch ……. According

.. rating agency, Total should maintain its AA credit rating even in the event of complete closure of the deposit of Elgin.

Countries in the euro area officially approved on Wednesday a second aid plan, 130 billion euros, which will allow Greece to finance until 2014, said pre , chairman of the Eurogroup Jean-Claude Juncker said in a statement.

"The Member States of the euro area today formally approved the second adjustment program for Greece. All required procedures and national parliamentarians were conducted, "he said

. The countries of the euro area also authorized the European Financial Stability Fund (EFSF) to conduct an initial payment of € 39.4 billion following this plan, which will be spread in several tranches, he said

. The official conclusion of the procedure follows the political agreement reached by the Eurogroup (Minister Finance of the euro zone) Monday to pay more money to Greece

.

PSA Peugeot Citroen does not exclude the future of cross-shareholdings with its new partner General Motors, which will take 7% of its capital as part of the alliance unveiled last week by the two groups.

The strategic partnership between the first French car manufacturer and the largest U.S. and world provides a common purchasing and the further development of common platforms.

The operation was not accompanied by an exchange of equity interests, as is often use to seal such a reconciliation, but a stake in GM in one way PSA, through a capital increase of one billion euros from the French group. 

"Now the time for us is probably not advisable to start with cross-participation because we need money to develop projects in which we invest with GM," de ; clared Philippe Varin, CEO of PSA, during a press conference at the Motor Show of Geneva.

"Nothing is excluded for the future, but it will not change the content of our alliance," he added.

Another big merger between two manufacturers, the Renault-Nissan has built from 1999 on equity cross – Renault now owns 43.4% of Nissan, Nissan 15% of Renault. The enlargement of the alliance in 2010 to Germany's Daimler was also accompanied by an exchange of capital, but more symbolic than at 3%.

"We think we cross-holdings are the best way to cement the win-win spirit of collaboration between the teams," said Carlos Tavares, Executive Director Officer of Renault, interviewed on Tuesday announced an alliance with its competitor.

"PSA as GM have a challenge in Europe in terms of their industrial overcapacity, both having the same problem I wonder how they will learn from each other to solve , "he added. 

COMPLEMENTARITY ON FUTURE PLATFORM

Philippe Varin declined Wednesday to discuss the implications of future common platforms for staff and two groups of plants in Europe. The first vehicle produced by this new architecture is programmed for 2016, which means starting construction next project.

The chief executive of PSA simply repeated today, the alliance had no impact on PSA overcapacity in Europe, a problem that the group intends GM solved separately in two years.

"This is a problem that every European competitor must address, it is not just a question for PSA, is a question for all European manufacturers," added Philippe Varin.

"It depends, for each manufacturer, the life cycle of its models. We, like others, will make decisions in a timely manner, "he added

. In the range of PSA, both models fueling questions about the future of sites that produce the Peugeot 207, produced in Madrid, near the end of life. Then comes the Citroen C3, also made in Madrid but also in Aulnay-sous-Bois, where management refuses to discuss the post-2014.

On the type of vehicle that will launch the first platform PSA-GM, the French group simply noted that the small car B segment, which includes the new Peugeot 208 presented e for the first time in Geneva, the alliance would draw on the expertise of the French group, while another segment of the priority of the alliance – the D, that of road – the U.S. would bring more.

PSA relies on this combination to continue its strategy of moving upmarket and internationalization of its sales, the financial difficulties that appeared last year against a backdrop of falling sales in Europe were likely to hinder . 

"The alliance allows us not to delay some projects that we would have been forced otherwise to delay," said Philippe Varin.

PSA has always perform 50% of its sales outside Europe in 2015, and two-thirds in 2020.

General Motors announced Monday it will pay 320 million euros to take 7% of French carmaker PSA Peugeot Citroen.

The manufacturer also says that the partnership plans to build at least four common models by 2016.

In a regulatory document sent to the Securities and Exchange Commission, Constable of the American Stock Exchange, General Motors said that the alliance is expected to last 10 years and will be renewed ; unless either party has an objection to this extension. 

Peugeot unveiled last week its strategic alliance with General Motors through which it hopes to save on purchase costs and development , with an entry of U.S. giant in its capital up to 7%.

The alliance will go off if a competitor of GM captured 10% or more of Peugeot, directly or indirectly, the U.S. group says in a statement.

Meanwhile, the partnership may be terminated if the share held by the Peugeot family falls below 15% and a competitor amounts to 5% or more in the French manufacturer.

A clause further provides for an end to the partnership if another automaker acquires 3% of PSA following an agreement with PSA Peugeot or with family.

The New York Stock Exchange ended down slightly from 0.01% Friday, the Dow Jones 30 industrial yielding 1.74 points to 12,982.95. The S & P-500, wider, took 2.28 points, or 0.17%, to 1,365.74, a closing level since June 2008 unpublished.

The Nasdaq Composite Index advanced 6.77 points on its side of (0.23%) to 2,963.75.

For the week, the Dow was awarded 0.3%, as the S & P 500, while the Nasdaq took 0.4%.

Pernod Ricard noted Thursday its goal of operating income growth for the 2011-2012 fiscal year after the publication of interim results better than expected thanks to its performance in countries é mergents and strategy for its upmarket spirits.

During the six months to end December, the world's second largest wine and spirits behind the British Diageo posted an operating profit (ROC) of 1.379 million euros, up 17% organic growth, above the consensus of 1,326.8 million euros set by the editor of Reuters.

Its net income group share grew by 16% to 843 million, for a turnover of 4.614 million (4,623.7 million forecast by analysts) an increase of 8%. Organic growth was 11% (10.7% expected).

Confidence in the continuation of these trends, the wine and spirits group now expects organic growth in annual operating income of nearly 8%, against 6% so far, and a Net debt / EBITDA close to 3.9 at June 30, 2012, against four previously.

Pernod Ricard shows a net debt / EBITDA of 3.9 to 4.4 against 31 December 2011 to 30 June 2011.