Business & Financial News

The amount of mortgage loans fell by nearly 26% over a year and nearly 50% compared to December. A real "blow". http://www.flickr.com/photos/gcattiaux/

The amount of loans granted by banks recorded a very sharp decline in January, falling 25.7% over the corresponding month of 2011, according to a study by the Housing Credit / CSA published Monday. "The year 2012 did not start very well. In a sluggish economy, the backlash movement anticipation of the end of 2011 is significant," notes the study.

On a monthly basis, the collapse is indeed brutal: -49.4% between December 2011 and January 2012 (after already falling by 34.1% between December 2010 and January 2011). "It's a blow. The fall is comparable to 2009, when the subprime crisis + + U.S., "said Michel Mouillart for AFP, professor of economics at the University of Paris West and industry expert

. For Mr.

Mouillart two decisions specific to the sector in addition to "concerns about rising unemployment, purchasing power and the unfavorable economic outlook". "First of all the strong decrease in the rate (from 22% to 13%) of the tax benefit for investors buying a new home and, in addition, the removal of zero-interest loan (PTZ) for buyers of older homes, "said M . Mouillart

. For the full year 2012, loans granted banks should amount to only 130 billion euros, a drop of almost 20% compared to 2011 (160 billion), far from the high of 2007 (170.2 billion), said Mr. Mouillart. The reversal came after an explosion of these funds since the beginning of the century who had contributed to buoyant property market in France: 70.8 billion in 2001, 87.3 in 2003, 143.7 in 2005 and 170, 2 in 2007.

Interest rates on mortgages continued to rise in January 2012 and have averaged 3.97% against 3.94% in December 2011 and 3.86% in November, a jump of more than 70 points base compared to the lowest level since 1945 (3.25% on average) reached in November 2010, according to Credit Housing.

Sales were flat compared to last year and prospects by the end of the operation on February 14 are bad. Winter sales, January 2010

Sales of the first half of the winter sales are stable, but the figures hide wide disparities in the types of stores, and prospects by the end of the transaction on Feb. 14 are "brittle" in the context of crisis. The French Fashion Institute (IFM), which refers, on Tuesday released the figures of the first two weeks of sales, traditionally the most active of the operation, lasting five weeks. On average, "it is not extraordinary, but it's not a disaster," said Gildas Minvielle, head of the Economic Observatory of the IFM, recalling that in 2011, the first half had balances resulted in sales between 0 and 1%.

For circuits, the figures are still "quite mixed," with a "bonus" to some shops downtown, he notes. Stores called "popular" category which essentially network Monoprix, sign the best performance with sales up 10% to 15%. Department stores, hypermarkets and supermarkets other retailers and mass market chains (which sell both clothing man, woman and child and are often on the periphery or Kiabi as La Halle) show an increase between 0 and 5%. But sales of independent multi-brand and specialty channels (type H & M, Zara …) fell between -5% and 0%. "The outlook for the remaining weeks of sales are weak" and 48% of Distributors expect a negative activity, says the IFM.

For their part, traders are more or less satisfied with the first two weeks of sales. – "Balance not good for the moment." Malls display an attendance close to last year (+0.3%), while revenue rose "in the order of 1 or 2%," according to Jean-Marie Silberstein, managing director of National Council of Shopping Centers (CNCC). "The purchases cheap work well in times of crisis, the consumer is on the lookout for bargains," said he. Side e-commerce, the sector federation announced for the first week sales jumped 14% (18% for sites mainly textiles).  

"Some of us are happy, others less," said Bertrand Morvan for his part, Chairman of the National Federation of clothing (FNH, independent). "We do not necessarily sold large pieces, perhaps does one sell from now with the cold snap. I think it will not be such a bad thought it," he predicts. "Cool weather will surely boost some sales, especially large pieces," added Jean-Marc Genis, president of the Federation of brands of clothing (FEH), which unites the chain, whose sales fell to about 2% over the first half. Francois-Marie for Grau, chief representative of the French Federation of ready-to-wear, "the record is not good for now".

Involved "essentially the problem of purchasing power experienced by consumers." Evidenced by sales of low end, suffer the most, is he. He also cited "the climate problem", with a cold came late, and the rise to power of "floating sales, promotions, private sales, and prices crossed on the internet." The Secretary of State for Trade Frederic Lefebvre said Monday in As part of the event Passion Commerce's decision to entrust a mission Crédoc on the issue of balances, balances floating, promotions, sales and private sales, said its services. This is to take stock, three years after the Act of modernizing the economy (LME), which governs the system of sales and promotions, and to determine whether changes are needed.

The Swiss pharmaceutical company Roche made Wednesday his confidence for the current fiscal year while announcing a 2011 annual result in line with expectations despite significant currency effects. Roche also pointed out that the year 2012 was marked by the takeover bid that leads on American society Illumina Genome Sequence . Revenues fell 10% to 42.53 billion Swiss francs (35.29 billion euros), while analysts had expected 42.37 billion. At constant exchange rates (CER), it appears, however, an increase of 1%. The Pharmaceuticals Division has contributed nearly $ 32.79 billion, down 12% year on year. Sales and the Diagnostics Division for their part, declined 7% to 9.74 billion but increased by 6% TCC. Markets expected 32.69 billion for the Pharmaceuticals Division and 9.73 billion for the Diagnostics Division. The net profit was up 7% in France and 26% TCC to 9.54 billion francs, while the market had forecast 9.49 billion. The Board of Directors propose a dividend of 6.80 francs per share and enjoy good (titles stripped of voting rights) for the past year against previous 6.60 francs ; ously. "As for 2012, we expect sales growth of the group in the lower part of the medium single-digit range and have set our target for growth in earnings per Share core activities in the upper part, "said CEO Severin Schwan said in a statement. Roche also aims for its Diagnostics division higher growth than the market and is committed to pursue its attractive dividend policy. The Director General also reiterated that all the hopes placed in Illumina Roche, the U.S. company for which his group has launched a tender offer unsolicited e at a cost of $ 5.7 billion. "The planned acquisition of Illumina will strengthen our presence in the fast growing market of DNA sequencing and enable the discovery of biomarkers for complex research and to clinical purposes, "he said.

An official with the International Monetary Fund said Wednesday that if any institution could buy bonds Spanish and Italian, along with the European Financial Stability Fund (EFSF) prior to distance himself a little later with this idea.

Antonio Borges, Director of the IMF's European Department, said at a news conference that the IMF "might even invest with the European Financial Stability Facility (EFSF).We would definitely ready to play this role. "

Greater involvement of the IMF in attempts to resolve the debt crisis in the euro area could reassure some investors who feel it is out of control.

"The investments we would do in Spain or Italy would be based on the certainty that these countries are on track, they are solvent and to take all necessary measures," said Antonio Borges.

"Because the EFSF now has the opportunity to invest in secondary markets, we could invest with him, to support the debt markets in Italy and Spain with an additional element of credibility," he said.

Later, Antonio Borges, issued a statement saying he wanted to "clarify some comments earlier held" by saying that the IMF could act directly on the bond markets.

"The IMF can only offer our resources to countries, it can not be used to intervene directly in the bond markets. We do no involvement in the market with the EFSF," said he.

The EFSF, with 440 billion euros, is seen as not sufficiently abundant in case of worsening of the crisis.And European officials are already thinking about increasing its response capacity through leverage.

ECB must remain active in the bond market-BORGES

At the press conference before his release correcting his remarks, Antonio Borges had said he wanted to wait for the ratification of the new powers of EFSF before further action by the IMF.

The IMF could go further and invest directly in bonds in Italy and Spain and for this he will have to create an investment vehicle specific, had said Antonio Borges.

He also felt that the European Central Bank should remain active in the bond market to help stabilize it, even after strengthening the powers of the European Financial Stability Fund, the EFSF.

ECB buys government bonds Spain and Italy on the secondary market since August to prevent the cost of borrowing in these countries do not rise to prohibitive levels.

The ECB considers that this action is somehow an extension of its monetary policy decisions.But many economists believe the central bank in the euro zone will no longer intervene in the market when the EFSF will feature its new powers including the purchase of debt on the secondary market.

"The ECB has a very important role to play in restoring market stability in Europe," said the director of the IMF's European department, Antonio Borges, at a press conference. "It is not possible to have a monetary union with the debt markets of extraordinary instability, as is the case today."

It is not, says the IMF, the spendthrifts save states, but to smooth out market fluctuations."A steady market intervention to stabilize the conditions would be most appropriate," said Antonio Borges.

Governments in the euro area might consider a way to make such operations more acceptable to the ECB, whose statutes forbid it to fund government.

"If that means give the ECB some degree of support from finance ministries across Europe, in order to provide additional comfort to make it easier, we would certainly very happy to see that happen, "said Antonio Borges.

"There are several ways to do so. This could simply be guaranteed by several ministries of finance, this could be the EFSF, there are many possibilities.The most important thing is to make it easier for the ECB to stabilize a presence in the markets, "he added.

The stock markets in the euro area settle in the green Thursday at midday, driven by financial stocks boosted by a voting majority in the margin of the German Parliament the reform of financial stability in Europe.

However, progress is limited. If the ratification of strengthening the powers of EFSF (European Financial Stability Fund) is acquired in Germany, this vote does not dispel the differences that oppose European leaders on how to deal effectively with the debt crisis in the euro area, report professionals.

Around 12:20, the CAC 40 index, which made the yo-yo in early trading, rises above 3000 points.The index gained 0.84% ​​to 3020.70 points and 3033.38 and 2974.98 changes between.

The euro also benefits the vote in the Bundestag and is trading around 1.3642 dollars against 1.3536 late Wednesday.

In Paris, BNP Paribas (6.27%), Societe Generale (4.67%) and Credit Agricole (3.75%) are leading the CAC 40 increases as the Stoxx Banks (+ 1.92%) is the leading sector gains in Europe.

L'Oreal (-1.48%) shows the largest drop in the Paris index, weighed down by the statements of Reuters Clarins boss who said he is worried about the economy in Europe this year and next year .

"These comments (Clarins) are negative for L'Oreal, which makes 40% of its sales in Europe," said one trader.

Exchanges of Frankfurt and Milan won respectively 0.57% and 1.28%.EuroStoxx 50 index of the core values ​​of the euro area is 0.96%. Outside the eurozone, London yields 0.31%

"We continue to believe that the news of recent days are not particularly encouraging. We are seeing some convergence between the political leaders of the EMU (Economic and Monetary Union)," say the strategists rate of Societe Generale in their daily note .

The performance of the German government bond (Bund) is relaxed to 10 years by 1.0 basis points to 1.97%.

François Fillon has aroused the wrath of unions by proposing to move towards a common retirement age between the two countries, without elaborating. But the French and German are not based on the same criteria.

The German model inspires François Fillon. In a speech on the "convergence" tax, the prime minister even tried to bring the debate in the field of pensions. But considering that it was necessary to "move towards a common retirement age" with the neighbor across the Rhine, it has sparked an outcry, just months after the entry into force of reform swept-fought.Since then, unions, employers' policies and comment on his remarks, not always understand what the Prime Minister referred.

If François Fillon spoke of the legal age …

His little phrase is especially feared the unions and the opposition a further decline in the minimum legal age of retirement, ie the age at which an insured can collect his pension. And it has nothing to do with the threshold of 65 or 67 years in force in Germany.It is "easy to talk about such retirement to 67 years in Germany and to face the French 60 years, omitting the one hand, remember that this is for Germany the retirement age full-rate and for France the legal age of cessation of activity, "lamented last year already economist Julia Cage, in a study of the Jean Jaures.

For the first, from 60 to 62 years by 2018 with the last pension reform, is the legal age of retirement. But for a full pension, you also claim a number of years of contributions, 40 and 3 months now. If it did not, it undergoes a discount at least 65 years of waiting-line gradually lengthened to 67 years in 2023 – the legal age which guarantees the full rate, regardless of the contribution period.The French system is indeed one of the few to impose a double bind, age and minimum insurance.

In Germany, for against, it is primarily the first which is taken into account. Employees receive their full pension at age 65 on the sole condition of having contributed five years. From 2012, this threshold will be gradually decreased by one, then two months per year to reach 67 in 2029, according to the reform adopted in 2007.

If he spoke of the age at full rate …

And so Francois Fillon was actually referring to a convergence of ages starting at the full rate, then the situations in France and Germany do not differ that much. In Germany, it will reach 67 years that by 2028. In France, it will be 67 years from 1 January 2023, for the generations born after 1956.The difference is that the French will have all their quarters from before, while the Germans, with some exceptions, can not do with discount.

The German decision to delay the age of two years starting at the full rate is also one reason: the German population is aging while the birthrate falls. The fertility rate is only 1.3 children per woman, against 2 in France, where the birthrate is one of the most dynamic in Europe. The passage of 67 years accompanied by an appeal also more massive premium pension and a decrease in the level of pensions. Between 2007 and 2009, the poverty rate in over 65 rose from 10.5 to 12.1%.

In Germany, the decline in the age of retirement has therefore not been smooth.Very hostile to reform, the unions pointed out that in a crisis, extend the service period is most likely to create unemployment. Especially since the "seniors" are often left behind when the job market is scarce. In 2009, their participation rate was only 56.2% across the Rhine. In France it was less than 39%.

Ways to encourage sustainable economic recovery are dwindling, the executive director warned Friday the International Monetary Fund (IMF) Christine Lagarde.

In an article published in the German daily Handelsblatt, the Commission considers that there are still shortcomings in the regulation of the financial system and that "indecision and dysfunctional policies" threaten to undermine the recovery in developed economies.

"I think there is a path to sustainable recovery, even if this path is narrower than before and continues to shrink," writes Christine Lagarde.

The former French Minister of Economy Again, the weak balance sheets posted by the banks and the U.S. are fueling a crisis of credibility which in turn undermines growth.

"This vicious cycle is gaining momentum and has been aggravated by political indecision and failure," she writes, calling for international solutions to resolve the debt crisis and systemic risks.

Airbus, a subsidiary of European aerospace and defense group EADS, announced Friday the signing of a contract with Lao Airlines to sell two single-aisle A320.

The two aircraft will be powered by CFM56 engines produced by CFM International, a joint venture between General Electric and Safran.

The airline, a new Airbus customer, has to operate the device including Bangkok and Singapore from Vientiane, the Laotian capital.

Airbus has garnered 922 gross orders (785 net) in the first seven months of the year and delivered 298 aircraft, well ahead of Boeing, including through the avalanche of contracts garnered at Paris Air Show in June.

Around 11:25, the EADS share price fell by 1.05% to 21.165 euros, while the CAC 40 index yielded 0.64% at the same time.The title earns 21% since the beginning of the year.

European shares ended down Thursday after three sessions in a row to rebound in the wake of Wall Street, where the departure of Executive Steve Jobs of Apple weighs on the coast.

The CAC 40 index finished down 0.65% at 3,119 points, after gaining 1.6% up in volumes that have accelerated shortly after the opening of Wall Street to finish at a level of 102% of their average last three months.

Other European stock markets, London has lost 1.44% and 0.25% Milan. Victims of several rumors, including one referring to a general ban on short sales in Germany denied by Berlin, Frankfurt fell 1.71%.The pan-European Euro Stoxx 50 index yielded 0.98% after opening up 0.6%.

On Wall Street, the S & P 500, Dow Jones and Nasdaq lost 1.1 to 1.2% at 6:17 p.m..

"The market plays to be afraid before Bernanke's speech tomorrow.The question is whether the Fed chairman will have the means to announce something solid while the United States are in a liquidity trap, "said Yves Marc, seller actions at Global Equities.

ADJUSTMENT SHOULD CONTINUE TO BACK

As for values, the bank (0.58%), the only growing sector, have benefited from the investment of $ 5 billion (3.5 billion) of Berkshire Hathaway in Bank of America.

This investment could be the harbinger of a more massive return of investors to the market this autumn, says Fabrice Cousté, CEO of CMC Markets France.

In Paris, Crédit Agricole jumped 4.81%, moving up and the top 40 increases in the ACC after publishing quarterly results better than expected, loads of Greece finally being advanced by less important.

"The adjustment of the markets continues and it seems likely that this adjustment continues in the fall," warned in a note Philippe Mimran, head of securities at managements UFG-LFP.

"The bond markets have clearly voted for a depressed economy, with real rates marginally positive German and American frankly negative," he adds.

The downturn in equity markets was also reflected in the yields of bonds rated.The performance of the 10-year German Bund dropped below the 2.2% to 2.179% against 2.188% yesterday.

That of the French OAT with the same maturity has returned around 2.86% after flirting with 2.95% in session, following the announcement of measures to improve public finances by the Prime Minister, François Fillon.

VAT reduction, reform of corporate tax … measures that the government hopes will be adopted next week should bring 4.9 billion euros to the state. Spanish Prime Minister Jose Luis Rodriguez Zapatero at a news conference late in July 2011.

Reduction in VAT on the purchase of new housing, reform of corporate taxes and mandatory use of generic drugs, these are the main weapons of the Spanish government, which adopted its new plan Friday to combat the crisis. "The government has approved a reduction in VAT from 8% to 4% for the purchase of a new home," said Jose Blanco, his spokesman, adding that it was an "exceptional measure and temporarily extended until 31 December. "Reform of the corporate tax should bring in 2.5 billion euros and the spread of generics 2.4 billion euros.

The plan, which the government hopes will be adopted next week, should bring 4.9 billion euros in state coffers, while the country is at the heart of a new financial turmoil that threatens the entire area euro. Jose Blanco confirmed that the government would urgently request the convening of Parliament to ensure that "measures be adopted so quickly."

Other measures for future employment

The economy minister, Elena Salgado, said the plan aimed to "support growth" and "generating activity and the recovery of the construction industry", at a press conference at the end Council of Ministers.The reduction in VAT should in particular help to sell many unsold new homes since the bursting of the housing bubble in 2008. The meltdown has precipitated the country into a severe economic crisis, with record unemployment in industrialized countries, with 20.89% in the second quarter.

Elena Salgado said the government would announce measures "to boost employment" at the Second Extraordinary Council of Ministers scheduled for August 26. These ads take place in a context of new financial market meltdown. The Madrid Stock Exchange is taken since late July in a new spiral and fell again Friday to levels not seen since the debt crisis of spring 2010.