Business & Financial News

The amount of mortgage loans fell by nearly 26% over a year and nearly 50% compared to December. A real "blow". http://www.flickr.com/photos/gcattiaux/

The amount of loans granted by banks recorded a very sharp decline in January, falling 25.7% over the corresponding month of 2011, according to a study by the Housing Credit / CSA published Monday. "The year 2012 did not start very well. In a sluggish economy, the backlash movement anticipation of the end of 2011 is significant," notes the study.

On a monthly basis, the collapse is indeed brutal: -49.4% between December 2011 and January 2012 (after already falling by 34.1% between December 2010 and January 2011). "It's a blow. The fall is comparable to 2009, when the subprime crisis + + U.S., "said Michel Mouillart for AFP, professor of economics at the University of Paris West and industry expert

. For Mr.

Mouillart two decisions specific to the sector in addition to "concerns about rising unemployment, purchasing power and the unfavorable economic outlook". "First of all the strong decrease in the rate (from 22% to 13%) of the tax benefit for investors buying a new home and, in addition, the removal of zero-interest loan (PTZ) for buyers of older homes, "said M . Mouillart

. For the full year 2012, loans granted banks should amount to only 130 billion euros, a drop of almost 20% compared to 2011 (160 billion), far from the high of 2007 (170.2 billion), said Mr. Mouillart. The reversal came after an explosion of these funds since the beginning of the century who had contributed to buoyant property market in France: 70.8 billion in 2001, 87.3 in 2003, 143.7 in 2005 and 170, 2 in 2007.

Interest rates on mortgages continued to rise in January 2012 and have averaged 3.97% against 3.94% in December 2011 and 3.86% in November, a jump of more than 70 points base compared to the lowest level since 1945 (3.25% on average) reached in November 2010, according to Credit Housing.

The main unions of pilots, stewardesses and stewards have issued a strike notice for four days starting Monday. Air France has said it already able to provide over 80% of its flights. Of passengers at the information board on flights at Charles de Gaulle

French unions aviation, including pilots of SNPL and the main organizations of hostesses and stewards, confirmed Friday their strike call from 6 to 9 February to oppose a bill regulating the right to strike in this sector.

Air France plans nonetheless provide at least 80% of its flights. But warns that the percentage may be reviewed depending on the number of employees that arise at work, they are not forced to declare strikers.

For its part, EasyJet does "no major disturbances" on its flights despite the strike call.

In addition to the pilots and flight attendants, federations FO, CFDT, UNSA and CGT have the air, after an inter-union, called the staff of companies and their service providers to mobilize. The bill "has been hardened to the Assembly and the government does not want to negotiate, the National Council of SNPL therefore confirmed the strike on Friday from 6 to 9 and decided it would be renewable, either directly after 9, or at another time, "he told AFP Yves Deshayes, national president of the SNPL, the main pilots' union, super-majority at Air France.

"In the action via other means"

"At the Inter, after our board meeting, it's the same with a strike from 6 to 9, and a few different versions according to the unions," said Yves Deshayes. "The three main trade unions of PNC (flight attendants), the SNPNC, the Unac and UNSA also call from 6 to 9, "said the driver. "The strike is held from 6 to 9," also said Franck Mikula, president of the Unac (CFE-CGC) at the conclusion of the Inter.

The SNPL said that among the ground staff would go on strike and some others would be "in action via other means." "We call for the strike in all French airlines, in metropolitan and overseas territories" , said Yves Deshayes.

The Chinese government will send next year a delegation of Chinese investors in Europe to acquire companies. Nicolas Sarkozy and Hu Jintao in Beijing, April 28, 2010. French President visited China for the inauguration of the Expo.

The Chinese government will send next year a delegation of Chinese investors in Europe to "buy European companies," said Chinese Commerce Minister Chen Deming, quoted Tuesday by the newspaper Global Times. "China wants to invest its large trade surplus and will not hold billions of dollars that depreciate," said Chen Deming Monday at a conference in Beijing."We are prepared to further open our market, for example the financial sector, but other savings should in turn be more open to our place," he said, always cited by the Global Times.

The paper does not specify the countries that the Chinese delegation will visit, or the composition of the delegation, or the amount or nature of such acquisitions. China holds huge reserves, which exceeded the end of September 3200 billion. She had invested the same date of $ 1.148 billion in U.S. Treasury bills while according to experts, it holds more than 550 billion sovereign debt of European countries.

France and Germany have given themselves until the end of January to reach a fiscal union strengthened the euro area, a project that could go through the quarantine of several countries and has generated negative reactions Monday from members of the single currency.

According to sources familiar with the exchanges between Paris and Berlin, the two countries are considering a revision to bypass formal European Treaty – a process that would last 18 months as a minimum – by working on a mini-treaty outside the Community more flexible and quicker to implement.

The billionaire is the target of a tax adjustment record says Tuesday Médiapart site. The IRS would make him pay including the concealment of twelve bank accounts abroad and the acquisition of the island secret watering. Liliane Bettencourt at the fashion week in Paris, January 26, 2011.

Nearly 78 million euros. This is the tidy sum claimed by the IRS to Liliane Bettencourt said Tuesday the site Médiapart, who had access to the report of the National Directorate of tax audits (DNVSF). "These are the amounts charged (including penalties and fines) under the wealth tax for the years 2004 to 2010 and, under the income tax for the years 2006 to 2009. The Negotiations are underway on this issue, counsel for the heir seeking a reduction in the total amount of this addition, "the site.

A year ago the head of state has big plans for the G20 in Cannes, hoping to legitimize its position as world leader and presidential candidate. But on the eve of the summit, Nicolas Sarkozy saw his hopes dashed. The European Council President Herman Van Rompuy, Nicolas Sarkozy and Angela Merkel in Brussels.

It must have been a great moment for France. And especially to Nicolas Sarkozy. Arriving to obtain the presidency of the G20 and G8 in 2011, with the help of his friend Gordon Brown, the head of state hoped to do two things at once: to become the great president of the International that he has always dreamed of being, and credibility for election in 2012. "In a way, it is served by the crisis," he said in November 2010, so do not hide its ambitions.At the time the French president harbored grandiose plans for the world economy: reforming the international monetary system (set the dual problem of the dollar and the yuan), limit the volatility of commodity prices, agricultural, or modernize the governance world. It will not happen, or not much. Already because of Nicolas Sarkozy's ambitions were too ambitious … But also because since November 2010, things have changed for France and its President.

Europe is no longer inspires confidence

It seems a long time since Germany and France landed at the G20 with the design, a bit peremptory, to moralize the financial world. At the time – at the G20 London in particular – the plight of the markets appeared to be the cause of all evil in the world economy.Today, on the verge of drowning, Europe assumed the costume of the responsibility for the crisis, wasting less time than it takes to say its capital credibility.

And it is likely that the G20 is a great opportunity for other states to remind him. All actors have to say good conscious "support and rebalance the global economy face significant risk of deterioration," for most, nothing can be done before that Europe treats his own evils. It is for this reason that the Europeans, Nicolas Sarkozy in the lead, have both hastened to find a solution for Greece. Alas, the great promises of the European Union will not be at the rendezvous.

Tuesday, to everyone's surprise, the Greek Prime Minister George Papandreou decided to submit the European Agreement on Greece in the popular referendum and drawing a large question mark over the future of the euro area.

The agreement snatched in the night between Wednesday and Thursday by leaders of the euro area has temporarily turned off the fire that threatened the single currency but many risks still on the Greek debt restructuring and strengthening of the support fund the euro.

After more than ten hours of the summit, the Heads of State and Government of the single currency agreed with banks to reduce by 100 billion euros Greek debt and endorsed a complex mechanism to bring the firepower the European Financial Stability Fund (EFSF) to 1,000 billion.

European markets jumped and reached their highest level in three months while the euro was appreciating at more than $ 1.40, a value that had not crossed since early September.

But if this complex agreement among the most ambitious concluded since the bursting of the debt crisis in Greece in late 2009, it is nonetheless flawed, full of question marks and carries significant risks on its realization.

The bankers must first confirm their voluntary commitment to participate in the new bailout of Greece – a process that was long winded in the previous program.

Countries in the euro area should then agree on a series of far from trivial details in the implementation of the new EFSF, as the participation of international investors to it.

"I think the main risk would be to wait too long the implementation of these agreements," warned Thursday Ewald Nowotny, a member of the European Central Bank.

"Speed ​​is essential in this case," he told Austrian radio ORF.

GREEK RESTRUCTURING

Three months ago, European leaders had already reached agreement on a major debt reduction Greek involving private creditors, but the delays in implementing the plan and its lack of ambition have quickly rendered inoperative, at least in the eyes of the markets.

Decisions taken at dawn Thursday, finally attacking head-on questions of Greek debt and contagion of the crisis to larger countries such as Italy, Spain or France, are expected to avoid the euro area to repeat the same mistakes.

For Greece, it is expected that the debt be reduced from more than 160% of GDP to 120% in 2020, a level considered sustainable by the European authorities.

To do this, the governments of the euro area will set the table 130 billion euros in loans and guarantees, while private creditors will remove 100 billion from 210 billion euros of Greek securities they hold.

This voluntary contribution, expected to be received by the end of the year will amount to a waiver of 50%, said Nicolas Sarkozy and Angela Merkel, who had to meet in person with representatives of banks and weigh their weight to force the decision.

The Director General of the Institute of International Finance (IIF) Charles Dallara, who represented the banks in the negotiation, welcomed the agreement, which revises the plan of July 21, in which the private sector was engaged only up to 50 billion euros.

As expected, the leaders of twenty-seven have also endorsed the plan to recapitalize banks to the tune of 106 billion euros by June 30, 2012, of which 8.8 billion for French banks.

The plan also provides government guarantees to enable banks to secure funding in the medium and long term, similar to those that were implemented in fall 2008 at the height of the financial crisis.

1.000 BILLION FOR EFSF

Third and final part of the European response to the crisis, Europeans also agreed on a scaling capabilities of the European Financial Stability (EFSF), which could then be brought up to 1.000 billion euros.An initiative likely to reassure markets on its ability to fly, if any, help from countries like Italy or Spain.

The Fund had in its creation of 440 billion euros but the support in Portugal and Ireland and the complex financial arrangements necessary to give it a AAA rating reduced to about 250 billion today its actual capacity remaining.

The leverage will be achieved via a dual mechanism: on the one hand it will provide partial debt issued by troubled countries and, secondly, to create a new "special vehicle" backed by the EFSF and the International Monetary Fund (IMF) with the participation of international investors, such as China and other emerging countries.

Nicolas Sarkozy, who said in Brussels that the Chinese participation was envisaged, met Thursday on the phone with his Chinese counterpart Hu Jintao.

The Director General of EFSF, Klaus Regling, will visit China on Friday to meet with investors.

If he had been excluded from the weekend to leverage the EFSF by providing access to unlimited liquidity to the European Central Bank, the central bank has been active in the preliminary summit.

Providing some relief to markets, the future President of ECB, Mario Draghi, stated Wednesday morning that the bank would remain present in the bond markets as they would be unstable, an expected sign for several days which was welcomed by Nicolas Sarkozy.

"I am not the spokesman for the ECB. The ECB is an independent institution. Mr. Draghi did not interviewed before making that decision, we did have asked for anything, but it is permitted to rejoice in what 'he said, which is quite clear, "he said at a press conference, then insisting on these redemptions of debt.

European shares move in a disorganized Tuesday, investors playing the caution on the eve of an EU summit which many hope it will bring a muscular response to the debt crisis that has shaken the region for two years now.

In Paris the CAC 40 index yields 0.20% to 3213.19 points to 13.30.

At the same time, London was up 0.29% and 1.32% Frankfurt wins.

After two sessions of gains, the markets are showing signs of slowing, traders citing concerns about the vote of the German parliament Wednesday prior to the expansion of bailout funds in the euro area, as well as the implementation by Italy austerity measures demanded by its European partners.

The energy values, however, argue the market.The Stoxx European oil and gas sector gaining 1.5%, driven notably by better than expected results from BP, which estimates that its production is about to rise.

In the banking sector, Deutsche Bank, UBS and Swedbank grew respectively by 1.46%, 4.66% and 2.42% after all beaten the consensus in the third quarter despite the difficult economic conditions.

Action Air France-KLM gives 2.6% as a result of information from the radio BFM Business that the airline may soon issue a warning on its results.

STMicroelectronics acknowledges since opening the biggest drop of the CAC 40, yielding almost 7% after announcing a decline in sales in the third quarter in a context of deteriorating market for semiconductors and uncertainty general economic conditions.

The euro, which has entered Monday a six-week peak against the greenback, still rising beyond $ 1.39 on hopes of convincing the top end of Wednesday.

Finance ministers and central bank governors of the G20 agreed Saturday to impose a surcharge mandatory capital up to 2.5% of their capital for systemically important banks, to be set up gradually from 2016.

According to the statement issued after a two-day meeting in Paris, they endorsed the device in the sense proposed by the Financial Stability Board (FSB), ignoring calls from financial wishing a review of it these or additional time for implement.

Overload, which can be between 1% and 2.5%, will apply to all institutions, by their size, would be of overall risk to the financial system in case of failure.

Would be affected banks like Goldman Sachs, HSBC, Deutsche Bank, JPMorgan Chase but also the largest French banks: BNP Paribas, Societe Generale and Credit Agricole.

"Now that we have agreed on the framework for these institutions, we urge the FSC to define how to extend this system without delay to all systemically important financial institutions," we read in the statement.

The aim is that these banks have enough capital to get through the turbulence of markets so that states are not forced to wear to their rescue when the next crisis.

This overload should be finally adopted at the next G20 summit on 3 and 4 November in Cannes, at which the names of the banks concerned will be announced.

It is one of a set of provisions on the financial sector ministers and central bank governors have adopted Saturday.

AGREEMENT "TEST BANKS"

Among these include the use by supervisory authorities in the sector of "common tools" to liquidate banks in trouble, writing "wills" by major banks to facilitate their dismantling in case of difficulties or strengthening the monitoring of such institutions.

The CSF, which coordinates the work on financial regulation for the G20, has already defined the criteria implemented in a systemic overload.He identified 28 banks that could be subject, but a source close to the G20, it was reported that the number will be between 29 and 50.

The CEO of JPMorgan Chase, Jamie Dimon, the device has already denounced as "anti-American", while the banks concerned will apply in addition to the new prudential framework called Basel III will require them to hold capital "hard" to at least 7% of their commitments.

The CSB has received other support from the G20 for his work on the definition of "shadow banking system" to a regulation of it, with a view to prevent risk activities will migrate banks to other parts of the financial sector such as money market funds or special entities.

Regarding the regulation of commodity markets, one of the priorities of the Presidency of the G20, Paris could not succeed in setting limits on positions that investors can hold.

The statement calls for implementation by the end of 2012 recommendations of IOSCO, the umbrella organization for national supervisors of markets, derivative markets of raw materials that do not provide for such limits.

Power focus on health is a major strategic focus for large food manufacturers, but their ambitions are hampered by regulations become more stringent and consumers more wary of offering is often expensive, analysts said.

The major industry players such as Danone, Nestle and Unilever should nevertheless continue to invest in these foods which the operating margin is much higher than ordinary food, they say.

The taxation of the "junk food" makes this strategy even more relevant.Denmark has introduced a tax on products that contain saturated fats and France wants to introduce a tax on sugary drinks.

The global market for "functional foods", expected to provide a benefit to consumers with diabetes or obesity, is estimated at 150 billion.

"The food chain can no longer ignore the trend nutrionnellement correct.This is an important issue given the aging population and increased diseases such as diabetes in developed countries, "said Isabelle Senande, director of studies at Xerfi.

But, she adds, "given the regulatory, industry think twice before launching."

One analyst, who requested anonymity, believes that for his position "is a condition of survival, not a niche market."But, he adds, "industry groups are becoming more cautious as inflation promises led to a tightening of regulations."

90% OF CASES ACCEPTED

The bifidus yoghurt, dairy products fortified with calcium and omega 3, or branded foods "low fat", "no sugar added" or "high fiber" are subject to strict control of the European Food Safety Authority (EFSA), which ensures that the benefits put forward by the industry are justified scientifically.

Danone, which boasts of wanting to "bring health through nutrition," had experienced a crushing defeat in 2009 yoghurt Essensis that would "feed the skin from within."For its part, Nestlé has had a few days ago to withdraw his drink Nesfluid after only one year of marketing.

The Danone Actimel can show that it "strengthens the body" and that Activia "helps regulate transit in 15 days". The European regulator has however endorsed Danacol "reduces cholesterol" or Densia and Petit Gervais "that help maintain bone density."

At the National Association of food industries, Cécile Rauzy, project quality, nutrition, regrets that the demands of the EFSA is based on criteria "that are not necessarily the field of nutrition but to the pharmacy," the that could "slow the nutrition research."

Of the 2758 claims assessed between 2008 and 2011, the EFSA has delivered 90% of negative opinions.In particular, it rejected all those on fiber because, judging that their beneficial effects on intestinal transit had not been demonstrated.

The EU regulation on consumer information, passed last week and will be published by the end of 2011, require nutrition labeling for all companies.

"This is a major change because of the 10,000 enterprises in the French food industry, 95% are SMEs, many of which have never been labeling or nutritional analysis," said Cecile Rauzy.

BYPASS STRATEGY

Also in 2012, all health claims must be submitted to the French health authorities and the EFSA opinion which must be approved by the European Commission before being published on a register of authorized health claims. Only after the company can rely on it.

For Cecilia Rauzy, this procedure could lead very long "all small businesses, as well as large groups, to question a reorientation of their research."In fact, few major innovations have recently arrived on the shelves of distributors, agribusiness around obstacles by offering natural products with no artificial additives or colorants.

Francis Priest, an analyst at CM-CIC Securities, believes however that "the consumer is willing to pay more for food really good for his health in mature as in the emerging".

With margins of 13% to 18% which gives it a medical food, against 12% for an ordinary product, a company completely marginalizes the impact of the rising cost of raw materials, says the analyst.

In order to develop this market, industry players segments of business or carry out acquisitions.

Thus, Danone has created a division "Medical Nutrition." Nestle it launched last year a division specializing in health encompasses both activities in the nutrition of infants and sick and Jenny Craig, its subsidiary concurrent Weight Watchers. Without complex, the Swiss group has offered in the wake of frozen pizza, Kraft Foods for $ 3.7 billion.

At the same time, 51% stake in Yoplait were acquired for 1.2 billion euros by the American General Mills, while PepsiCo has offered the Russian group of dairy and fruit juice Wimm-Bill -Dann to 4.1 billion euros.