Business & Financial News

The amount of mortgage loans fell by nearly 26% over a year and nearly 50% compared to December. A real "blow". http://www.flickr.com/photos/gcattiaux/

The amount of loans granted by banks recorded a very sharp decline in January, falling 25.7% over the corresponding month of 2011, according to a study by the Housing Credit / CSA published Monday. "The year 2012 did not start very well. In a sluggish economy, the backlash movement anticipation of the end of 2011 is significant," notes the study.

On a monthly basis, the collapse is indeed brutal: -49.4% between December 2011 and January 2012 (after already falling by 34.1% between December 2010 and January 2011). "It's a blow. The fall is comparable to 2009, when the subprime crisis + + U.S., "said Michel Mouillart for AFP, professor of economics at the University of Paris West and industry expert

. For Mr.

Mouillart two decisions specific to the sector in addition to "concerns about rising unemployment, purchasing power and the unfavorable economic outlook". "First of all the strong decrease in the rate (from 22% to 13%) of the tax benefit for investors buying a new home and, in addition, the removal of zero-interest loan (PTZ) for buyers of older homes, "said M . Mouillart

. For the full year 2012, loans granted banks should amount to only 130 billion euros, a drop of almost 20% compared to 2011 (160 billion), far from the high of 2007 (170.2 billion), said Mr. Mouillart. The reversal came after an explosion of these funds since the beginning of the century who had contributed to buoyant property market in France: 70.8 billion in 2001, 87.3 in 2003, 143.7 in 2005 and 170, 2 in 2007.

Interest rates on mortgages continued to rise in January 2012 and have averaged 3.97% against 3.94% in December 2011 and 3.86% in November, a jump of more than 70 points base compared to the lowest level since 1945 (3.25% on average) reached in November 2010, according to Credit Housing.

France and Germany have given themselves until the end of January to reach a fiscal union strengthened the euro area, a project that could go through the quarantine of several countries and has generated negative reactions Monday from members of the single currency.

According to sources familiar with the exchanges between Paris and Berlin, the two countries are considering a revision to bypass formal European Treaty – a process that would last 18 months as a minimum – by working on a mini-treaty outside the Community more flexible and quicker to implement.

Vilmorin confirmed on Tuesday its full-year after a first quarter marked by an increase of 5.9% on a comparable turnover, particularly due to the field seeds.

The fourth seed said the world from July to September quarter, the first of the year the group has traditionally been the smallest of the year as it weighs just under 15% of total revenue.Over the period, sales reached 178.8 million euros.

"In an uncertain economic and financial environment and despite the supply of maize seeds below the targets initial production plans, Vilmorin confirms its outlook for revenue growth and operating margin for the year 2011-2012 , as announced last October, "the group said in a statement.

Vilmorin is always a growth of over 7% of its consolidated revenues on a comparable basis and an operating margin of 11% research effort included.

European shares move in a disorganized Tuesday, investors playing the caution on the eve of an EU summit which many hope it will bring a muscular response to the debt crisis that has shaken the region for two years now.

In Paris the CAC 40 index yields 0.20% to 3213.19 points to 13.30.

At the same time, London was up 0.29% and 1.32% Frankfurt wins.

After two sessions of gains, the markets are showing signs of slowing, traders citing concerns about the vote of the German parliament Wednesday prior to the expansion of bailout funds in the euro area, as well as the implementation by Italy austerity measures demanded by its European partners.

The energy values, however, argue the market.The Stoxx European oil and gas sector gaining 1.5%, driven notably by better than expected results from BP, which estimates that its production is about to rise.

In the banking sector, Deutsche Bank, UBS and Swedbank grew respectively by 1.46%, 4.66% and 2.42% after all beaten the consensus in the third quarter despite the difficult economic conditions.

Action Air France-KLM gives 2.6% as a result of information from the radio BFM Business that the airline may soon issue a warning on its results.

STMicroelectronics acknowledges since opening the biggest drop of the CAC 40, yielding almost 7% after announcing a decline in sales in the third quarter in a context of deteriorating market for semiconductors and uncertainty general economic conditions.

The euro, which has entered Monday a six-week peak against the greenback, still rising beyond $ 1.39 on hopes of convincing the top end of Wednesday.

Finance ministers and central bank governors of the G20 agreed Saturday to impose a surcharge mandatory capital up to 2.5% of their capital for systemically important banks, to be set up gradually from 2016.

According to the statement issued after a two-day meeting in Paris, they endorsed the device in the sense proposed by the Financial Stability Board (FSB), ignoring calls from financial wishing a review of it these or additional time for implement.

Overload, which can be between 1% and 2.5%, will apply to all institutions, by their size, would be of overall risk to the financial system in case of failure.

Would be affected banks like Goldman Sachs, HSBC, Deutsche Bank, JPMorgan Chase but also the largest French banks: BNP Paribas, Societe Generale and Credit Agricole.

"Now that we have agreed on the framework for these institutions, we urge the FSC to define how to extend this system without delay to all systemically important financial institutions," we read in the statement.

The aim is that these banks have enough capital to get through the turbulence of markets so that states are not forced to wear to their rescue when the next crisis.

This overload should be finally adopted at the next G20 summit on 3 and 4 November in Cannes, at which the names of the banks concerned will be announced.

It is one of a set of provisions on the financial sector ministers and central bank governors have adopted Saturday.

AGREEMENT "TEST BANKS"

Among these include the use by supervisory authorities in the sector of "common tools" to liquidate banks in trouble, writing "wills" by major banks to facilitate their dismantling in case of difficulties or strengthening the monitoring of such institutions.

The CSF, which coordinates the work on financial regulation for the G20, has already defined the criteria implemented in a systemic overload.He identified 28 banks that could be subject, but a source close to the G20, it was reported that the number will be between 29 and 50.

The CEO of JPMorgan Chase, Jamie Dimon, the device has already denounced as "anti-American", while the banks concerned will apply in addition to the new prudential framework called Basel III will require them to hold capital "hard" to at least 7% of their commitments.

The CSB has received other support from the G20 for his work on the definition of "shadow banking system" to a regulation of it, with a view to prevent risk activities will migrate banks to other parts of the financial sector such as money market funds or special entities.

Regarding the regulation of commodity markets, one of the priorities of the Presidency of the G20, Paris could not succeed in setting limits on positions that investors can hold.

The statement calls for implementation by the end of 2012 recommendations of IOSCO, the umbrella organization for national supervisors of markets, derivative markets of raw materials that do not provide for such limits.

Power focus on health is a major strategic focus for large food manufacturers, but their ambitions are hampered by regulations become more stringent and consumers more wary of offering is often expensive, analysts said.

The major industry players such as Danone, Nestle and Unilever should nevertheless continue to invest in these foods which the operating margin is much higher than ordinary food, they say.

The taxation of the "junk food" makes this strategy even more relevant.Denmark has introduced a tax on products that contain saturated fats and France wants to introduce a tax on sugary drinks.

The global market for "functional foods", expected to provide a benefit to consumers with diabetes or obesity, is estimated at 150 billion.

"The food chain can no longer ignore the trend nutrionnellement correct.This is an important issue given the aging population and increased diseases such as diabetes in developed countries, "said Isabelle Senande, director of studies at Xerfi.

But, she adds, "given the regulatory, industry think twice before launching."

One analyst, who requested anonymity, believes that for his position "is a condition of survival, not a niche market."But, he adds, "industry groups are becoming more cautious as inflation promises led to a tightening of regulations."

90% OF CASES ACCEPTED

The bifidus yoghurt, dairy products fortified with calcium and omega 3, or branded foods "low fat", "no sugar added" or "high fiber" are subject to strict control of the European Food Safety Authority (EFSA), which ensures that the benefits put forward by the industry are justified scientifically.

Danone, which boasts of wanting to "bring health through nutrition," had experienced a crushing defeat in 2009 yoghurt Essensis that would "feed the skin from within."For its part, Nestlé has had a few days ago to withdraw his drink Nesfluid after only one year of marketing.

The Danone Actimel can show that it "strengthens the body" and that Activia "helps regulate transit in 15 days". The European regulator has however endorsed Danacol "reduces cholesterol" or Densia and Petit Gervais "that help maintain bone density."

At the National Association of food industries, Cécile Rauzy, project quality, nutrition, regrets that the demands of the EFSA is based on criteria "that are not necessarily the field of nutrition but to the pharmacy," the that could "slow the nutrition research."

Of the 2758 claims assessed between 2008 and 2011, the EFSA has delivered 90% of negative opinions.In particular, it rejected all those on fiber because, judging that their beneficial effects on intestinal transit had not been demonstrated.

The EU regulation on consumer information, passed last week and will be published by the end of 2011, require nutrition labeling for all companies.

"This is a major change because of the 10,000 enterprises in the French food industry, 95% are SMEs, many of which have never been labeling or nutritional analysis," said Cecile Rauzy.

BYPASS STRATEGY

Also in 2012, all health claims must be submitted to the French health authorities and the EFSA opinion which must be approved by the European Commission before being published on a register of authorized health claims. Only after the company can rely on it.

For Cecilia Rauzy, this procedure could lead very long "all small businesses, as well as large groups, to question a reorientation of their research."In fact, few major innovations have recently arrived on the shelves of distributors, agribusiness around obstacles by offering natural products with no artificial additives or colorants.

Francis Priest, an analyst at CM-CIC Securities, believes however that "the consumer is willing to pay more for food really good for his health in mature as in the emerging".

With margins of 13% to 18% which gives it a medical food, against 12% for an ordinary product, a company completely marginalizes the impact of the rising cost of raw materials, says the analyst.

In order to develop this market, industry players segments of business or carry out acquisitions.

Thus, Danone has created a division "Medical Nutrition." Nestle it launched last year a division specializing in health encompasses both activities in the nutrition of infants and sick and Jenny Craig, its subsidiary concurrent Weight Watchers. Without complex, the Swiss group has offered in the wake of frozen pizza, Kraft Foods for $ 3.7 billion.

At the same time, 51% stake in Yoplait were acquired for 1.2 billion euros by the American General Mills, while PepsiCo has offered the Russian group of dairy and fruit juice Wimm-Bill -Dann to 4.1 billion euros.

The Belgian, French and Luxembourg governments reaffirmed at the end of a meeting held in Brussels this Sunday afternoon in solidarity in the search for a solution that ensures the future of Franco-Belgian bank Dexia.

In a statement released by the office of Belgian Prime Minister Yves Leterme, they say, give their full support to the proposals of management of the banking group, which will be presented at a Board of Directors scheduled at 15:00 in Brussels.

"The proposed solution, which is also the result of intense consultations with all relevant partners, will be presented to the Board of Directors of Dexia which is responsible for approving the proposals," said Yves Leterme.

The activities of the Franco-Belgian bank, first bank in size in Europe to be a victim of the crisis of sovereign debt in the euro zone could be split and the most risky assets confined to a separate structure.

The three main French banks have made a spectacular recovery on the stock market Wednesday afternoon, unconfirmed rumors recapitalization that gave a boost to their titles.

As they signed in mid-day the worst stock market performance of European banking sector, BNP Paribas, Credit Agricole and Societe Generale took up to 3:45 p.m., respectively, 1.95%, 0.52% and 0.79% while the European banking index fell by 0.13%.

"We feel that the market is abuzz with rumors and there is nothing really solid.I think the market will come back (back), "said one trader told Reuters.

A spokeswoman for BNP Paribas has denied rumors the new recapitalization.

"In the words of (the president) Michel Pébereau yesterday we currently have no need to be recapitalized," she said, noting that his bank had just signed one of his best performances in history in terms of results .

French banks were attacked in the morning, some operators are worrying about their access to liquidity despite the increase in denials.

The climate has become particularly burdensome for banks in recent weeks hexagonal where announcements of measures to promote the return of market confidence have been ineffective.

The German group Siemens has withdrawn funds early July of Société Générale as a result of under-performance of an investment, but the news was interpreted by some as indicative of the financial health of the bank.

Similarly, the decision by Standard & Poor's to lower the sovereign rating of Italy, although it was expected by the markets, also helped fuel the fears of contagion from the crisis of debt in the euro area.

Ways to encourage sustainable economic recovery are dwindling, the executive director warned Friday the International Monetary Fund (IMF) Christine Lagarde.

In an article published in the German daily Handelsblatt, the Commission considers that there are still shortcomings in the regulation of the financial system and that "indecision and dysfunctional policies" threaten to undermine the recovery in developed economies.

"I think there is a path to sustainable recovery, even if this path is narrower than before and continues to shrink," writes Christine Lagarde.

The former French Minister of Economy Again, the weak balance sheets posted by the banks and the U.S. are fueling a crisis of credibility which in turn undermines growth.

"This vicious cycle is gaining momentum and has been aggravated by political indecision and failure," she writes, calling for international solutions to resolve the debt crisis and systemic risks.

Moody's Investors Service downgraded Wednesday Societe Generale and Credit Agricole up a notch, and extended monitoring of BNP Paribas, adding that any downgrading of the rating on BNP would probably also limited to one notch.

The rating agency had placed the banks under review with negative implications on June 15, citing their exposure to Greece.

Experts had said that the notes were ripe for a downgrade due to higher borrowing costs in the context of sovereign debt crisis of several of the euro area.

In a context of deterioration of refinancing, Moody's said its concerns about the structural difficulties of the profiles of liquidity and financing banks had intensified.

For Credit Agricole, Moody's reduced the rating of the long-term debt and deposits to Aa2 from Aa1, a one notch downgrade and downgraded the Bank Financial Strength Rating (BFSR) to the next level too, C + to C.

Regarding Societe Generale, Moody's Aa2 to Aa3 reduced from the note of the long-term debt and deposits, with a negative outlook.The agency estimates that the impact of monitoring the Bank Financial Strength Rating (BFSR) will be limited to a one notch downgrade.

Moody's believes, however, that Societe Generale has a level of capital sufficient to absorb potential losses it is likely to record its holdings on Greek government bonds.

It added that Societe Generale will remain capitalized at a level consistent with its BFSR, even if the quality of the signature of the Ireland and Portugal were to deteriorate further.

Societe Generale issued a statement following the announcement by Moody's.The bank says it has demonstrated its ability to effectively manage the current situation in the debt crisis in Greece and has taken appropriate measures to strengthen its profile of refinancing.

Societe Generale said Monday it would conduct asset sales and cost reductions designed to release four billion euros in additional capital by 2013.

FRENCH BANKS "KEEP NOTES OF VERY GOOD"

For BNP Paribas, Moody's believes that the first French bank has a level of profitability and capital sufficient to absorb potential losses it may suffer over time due to its exposure to Greece, Portugal and the Ireland.

Moody's continues its review with negative implications for long-term rating and deposits – currently Aa2 – BNP Paribas, but considered unlikely that this under surveillance results in a downgrade of more than one notch.

BNP Paribas said Wednesday it would reduce the size of its balance sheet of about 10% by the end of 2012 and expects to achieve a capital adequacy ratio of 9% under the new banking regulations of Basel III on 1 January 2013.

Following the announcements by Moody's, the French government has reaffirmed the "strong" French banks.

"French banks have withstood stress tests that were very demanding few weeks ago," said Valerie Pécresse, budget minister and spokesman of the government after the cabinet meeting.

"There is no funding problem, or issue credit or liquidity problem for French banks," she said.

French banks are "very strong and keep very good notes," she said.

Radio Europe 1, President of the Financial Markets Authority (AMF) Jean-Pierre Jouyet noted that the cuts of note occurred already anticipated by the market.

On RTL, the governor of the Banque de France Christian Noyer, for its part felt that the situation of French banks was unlikely to deteriorate further after the decision by Moody's.

At the Paris stock exchange, securities of the three banks have opened down sharply after the announcements by Moody's, but have rapidly reduced or erased their losses, with the overall market, thanks to remarks by the President of the European Commission suggesting a forthcoming proposal for the introduction of euro bonds.

French banks are the institutions most exposed to Greece, according to the Bank for International Settlements (BIS).

Earlier this afternoon, the action Societe Generale lost 2.8% and 1.6% gave the BNP.But Crédit Agricole clinching 2%.

Citigroup cut its price targets on French banks.