Business & Financial News

The International Monetary Fund is considering a loan of 13 billion euros to help new international bailout for Greece, according to the Wall Street Journal. IMF Executive Director Christine Lagarde during a press conference in Washington on 6 July 2011.

The International Monetary Fund plans to contribute a loan of 13 billion euros in the new international bailout for Greece, said Friday the Wall Street Journal on its website. "The size of the IMF's contribution has not yet been decided" but the institution currently looking for the money, the newspaper said, citing people familiar with the matter in an article written from Brussels.

The IMF granted in May 2010 a loan of 30 billion euros in Athens, as part of an international plan of 110 billion. It has not been enough to revive the Greek economy, which sank in a severe recession, exploding public debt. Finance ministers from the euro zone must meet in Brussels on Monday to consider whether the conditions exist to implement a second level of support in Athens, including a public component of EUR 130 billion and partial clearing of debt held by private creditors to the tune of 100 billion.

Greek Prime Minister Lucas Papademos, counterparts Angela Merkel and Italian Mario Monti, and French President Nicolas Sarkozy on Friday expressed their confidence in the possibility of reaching an agreement when, after several postponements. February 9, an IMF spokesman, Gerry Rice, stated that before you can obtain a new loan, he was "very likely" that Greece has to undertake "prior actions" to show its commitment to measures required of it to improve the functioning of its economy.

U.S. stocks opened lower Friday as investors took some profits in the absence of final agreement on the issue of Greek debt.

In early trade, the Dow Jones drops 0.8% (107 points) to 12,780.04 points. The Standard & Poor's, larger yields 0.9% (12.50 points) to 1340 points while the Nasdaq composite was down nearly 1% (28.71 points) to 2,898 points .

Greek workers began a general strike of 48 hours to protest the austerity demanded by the creditors of Athens to bail out the country verge of bankruptcy.

The three-party coalition government endorsed on Thursday a new austerity plan, but called the Eurogroup in the evening additional guarantees on the implementation of these measures.

The market now expects Confidence Index Thomson Reuters / University of Michigan. It is expected a slight drop to 74.5 in preliminary data against 75 in January.

On the values ​​front, Yahoo gained 0.3%. Chinese Alibaba plans to withdraw from the Stock Exchange of Hong Kong subsidiary Alibaba.com, as part of a complex agreement that would bring its shareholder Yahoo's cash and a working interest in one entity s group of Chinese commerce.

The Swiss pharmaceutical company Roche made Wednesday his confidence for the current fiscal year while announcing a 2011 annual result in line with expectations despite significant currency effects. Roche also pointed out that the year 2012 was marked by the takeover bid that leads on American society Illumina Genome Sequence . Revenues fell 10% to 42.53 billion Swiss francs (35.29 billion euros), while analysts had expected 42.37 billion. At constant exchange rates (CER), it appears, however, an increase of 1%. The Pharmaceuticals Division has contributed nearly $ 32.79 billion, down 12% year on year. Sales and the Diagnostics Division for their part, declined 7% to 9.74 billion but increased by 6% TCC. Markets expected 32.69 billion for the Pharmaceuticals Division and 9.73 billion for the Diagnostics Division. The net profit was up 7% in France and 26% TCC to 9.54 billion francs, while the market had forecast 9.49 billion. The Board of Directors propose a dividend of 6.80 francs per share and enjoy good (titles stripped of voting rights) for the past year against previous 6.60 francs ; ously. "As for 2012, we expect sales growth of the group in the lower part of the medium single-digit range and have set our target for growth in earnings per Share core activities in the upper part, "said CEO Severin Schwan said in a statement. Roche also aims for its Diagnostics division higher growth than the market and is committed to pursue its attractive dividend policy. The Director General also reiterated that all the hopes placed in Illumina Roche, the U.S. company for which his group has launched a tender offer unsolicited e at a cost of $ 5.7 billion. "The planned acquisition of Illumina will strengthen our presence in the fast growing market of DNA sequencing and enable the discovery of biomarkers for complex research and to clinical purposes, "he said.

The Polish Minister for Finance said that the ECB should act as lender of last resort to fragile countries "to ensure stability in the euro area, its mandate". A position that faces the reluctance of the institution and Germany. ECB

The Polish Minister of Finance ruled Monday that the Europeans had a choice between "a massive intervention of the ECB" to save the euro area, "the catastrophe" of a "historic economic disaster," in an interview with the Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung. "The dangers of contamination are now greater than ever, and the money we need to stop them have grown because we have not acted quickly enough," said Jacek Rostowski everyday German. The implementation of the stabilization fund financial EFSF long overdue for its role as a firewall and the ECB must act now, "to ensure stability in the euro area, its mandate".

"We are faced with a choice horrible. In order of horrors, the alternative is: either a massive intervention by the ECB or the catastrophe," he said. The minister, who in September had raised the risk of armed conflict in Europe if the euro crisis would lead to the collapse of the EU, in a speech to dramatic accents to the European Parliament in Strasbourg, s' Monday is called "less reassured" after two months. "The risk is that of a historic economic disaster like the Great Depression of the 1930s, lead to the final of Europe in war," he added.

The European Central Bank (ECB) refuses to act as lender of last resort of the European states by buying an unlimited sovereign bonds, as it acquires dropper and on the secondary market.

The agreement snatched in the night between Wednesday and Thursday by leaders of the euro area has temporarily turned off the fire that threatened the single currency but many risks still on the Greek debt restructuring and strengthening of the support fund the euro.

After more than ten hours of the summit, the Heads of State and Government of the single currency agreed with banks to reduce by 100 billion euros Greek debt and endorsed a complex mechanism to bring the firepower the European Financial Stability Fund (EFSF) to 1,000 billion.

European markets jumped and reached their highest level in three months while the euro was appreciating at more than $ 1.40, a value that had not crossed since early September.

But if this complex agreement among the most ambitious concluded since the bursting of the debt crisis in Greece in late 2009, it is nonetheless flawed, full of question marks and carries significant risks on its realization.

The bankers must first confirm their voluntary commitment to participate in the new bailout of Greece – a process that was long winded in the previous program.

Countries in the euro area should then agree on a series of far from trivial details in the implementation of the new EFSF, as the participation of international investors to it.

"I think the main risk would be to wait too long the implementation of these agreements," warned Thursday Ewald Nowotny, a member of the European Central Bank.

"Speed ​​is essential in this case," he told Austrian radio ORF.

GREEK RESTRUCTURING

Three months ago, European leaders had already reached agreement on a major debt reduction Greek involving private creditors, but the delays in implementing the plan and its lack of ambition have quickly rendered inoperative, at least in the eyes of the markets.

Decisions taken at dawn Thursday, finally attacking head-on questions of Greek debt and contagion of the crisis to larger countries such as Italy, Spain or France, are expected to avoid the euro area to repeat the same mistakes.

For Greece, it is expected that the debt be reduced from more than 160% of GDP to 120% in 2020, a level considered sustainable by the European authorities.

To do this, the governments of the euro area will set the table 130 billion euros in loans and guarantees, while private creditors will remove 100 billion from 210 billion euros of Greek securities they hold.

This voluntary contribution, expected to be received by the end of the year will amount to a waiver of 50%, said Nicolas Sarkozy and Angela Merkel, who had to meet in person with representatives of banks and weigh their weight to force the decision.

The Director General of the Institute of International Finance (IIF) Charles Dallara, who represented the banks in the negotiation, welcomed the agreement, which revises the plan of July 21, in which the private sector was engaged only up to 50 billion euros.

As expected, the leaders of twenty-seven have also endorsed the plan to recapitalize banks to the tune of 106 billion euros by June 30, 2012, of which 8.8 billion for French banks.

The plan also provides government guarantees to enable banks to secure funding in the medium and long term, similar to those that were implemented in fall 2008 at the height of the financial crisis.

1.000 BILLION FOR EFSF

Third and final part of the European response to the crisis, Europeans also agreed on a scaling capabilities of the European Financial Stability (EFSF), which could then be brought up to 1.000 billion euros.An initiative likely to reassure markets on its ability to fly, if any, help from countries like Italy or Spain.

The Fund had in its creation of 440 billion euros but the support in Portugal and Ireland and the complex financial arrangements necessary to give it a AAA rating reduced to about 250 billion today its actual capacity remaining.

The leverage will be achieved via a dual mechanism: on the one hand it will provide partial debt issued by troubled countries and, secondly, to create a new "special vehicle" backed by the EFSF and the International Monetary Fund (IMF) with the participation of international investors, such as China and other emerging countries.

Nicolas Sarkozy, who said in Brussels that the Chinese participation was envisaged, met Thursday on the phone with his Chinese counterpart Hu Jintao.

The Director General of EFSF, Klaus Regling, will visit China on Friday to meet with investors.

If he had been excluded from the weekend to leverage the EFSF by providing access to unlimited liquidity to the European Central Bank, the central bank has been active in the preliminary summit.

Providing some relief to markets, the future President of ECB, Mario Draghi, stated Wednesday morning that the bank would remain present in the bond markets as they would be unstable, an expected sign for several days which was welcomed by Nicolas Sarkozy.

"I am not the spokesman for the ECB. The ECB is an independent institution. Mr. Draghi did not interviewed before making that decision, we did have asked for anything, but it is permitted to rejoice in what 'he said, which is quite clear, "he said at a press conference, then insisting on these redemptions of debt.

The Irish budget deficit has reduced by 4 percentage points of GDP since 2009. Corporate profitability recovered sharply. But deleveraging too fast may influence the activity against becoming productive. Pedestrians in Dublin

If Ireland is still part of PIGS, it can not be in the same category as Greece or Portugal, as progress in a few months by former Tiger European are important. The Irish budget deficit – excluding bank recapitalization needs – fell by 4 percentage points of GDP since 2009. The current account deficit turned into a small surplus. Finally, corporate profitability recovered sharply.

The experts of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) of the European Central Bank (ECB) and European Commission, who have just completed their assessment mission in Ireland, are seduced. "The ongoing adjustment is solid.The 2011 budget targets will be achieved and the ongoing structural reforms will also contribute to sanitation, "they note in their report.

However, Ireland is now entering a delicate phase. Or the risk of too rapid deleveraging weigh on activity, against becoming productive. The experts of the IMF, the ECB and the Commission to admit the hint. "Ireland will have to find a balance between the imperatives of debt reduction and limitation of the barriers to growth and job creation," they point out in their report. This sentence harmless and a bit blurry could announce a change in strategy for Ireland. The country needs it, says a recent report by Goodbody Broker.

Make concessions

Indeed, in Ireland, over-indebtedness affects both the public sector, private sector and banks.Simultaneously reducing the three is clearly a bad idea, says the report. If Ireland is determined to meet all objectives at the same time, the evolving recovery will be quickly suppressed. A risk highlighted recently by the Finance Minister Michael Noonan. Especially since the motor only turns in exports. The domestic market remains depressed by lower prices (unit labor costs fell by 15% and commercial property prices have been divided by two).

We must therefore make concessions to one side. But which one? As for households, the government can not do much. The debt reached 220% of disposable income, nearly twice the international average. And fall of financial markets could reduce household net wealth of 250 billion euros. The Irish are going to have to tighten their belts for several years.Make concessions on the public debt is also not in a financial crisis. Ireland recorded a primary deficit of 6% of GDP in 2011. This is the worst result of the euro area.

Remaining banks. They must bring their ratios to 122% loan to deposit by 2013. The challenge today is to allow banks to achieve that clean without excessively penalizing the credit. This will doubtless involve additional time but also further aid from the ECB, economists now believe. Lengthy discussion in perspective.

The coming months may have an air of "déjà vu" for Suez Environnement, which is likely to revise down its ambitions, as in 2009, due to the economic downturn and its impact on the volume of industrial waste.

The world number two environmental services will probably have to even make acquisitions and accelerate cost reductions to be closer to its goals 2012-2013, analysts say.

"Given the deterioration in the macroeconomic environment and its impact on the business 'waste', we believe that the group will have difficulty achieving its 2012-2013 horizon," said Julien Desmaretz, at Bryan Garnier.

Building on a "gradual economic recovery," Suez Environnement has announced that it was early 2011, at constant exchange rates, the increases of at least 5% of its turnover and 10% of its gross operating profit (EBIT, EBITDA) in 2011 compared to 2010.

He also said it expects, always at constant exchange rates, on average increases of at least 5% of its sales and at least 7% of its EBITDA over the period 2012 to 2013, he still has goals confirmed in early August .

But growth prospects that loomed earlier this year moved away, especially with the debt crisis in the eurozone, while Europe accounted for 73% of its turnover in 2010 and waste 47 %.

The International Monetary Fund even had to revise downwards in September growth forecast for 2011 and 2012.

"Asset rotation"

"We expect 6% growth in EBITDA in 2012 and 2013.For 2011, it will be fair: there are risks if the T4 seen a collapse in industrial production and prices of recycled materials, "says Yohann Terry, an analyst at Exane BNP Paribas.

While threatening a new credit crunch, the prudence of Suez Environnement on acquisitions and financial profile, however, now appear as assets against his great rival Veolia Environnement, the world leader in the industry.

Just before 2008, Veolia and had instead embarked on a series of acquisitions at the top of the cycle, particularly in Germany, Italy and the United States, which proved to be far less profitable than expected in times of crisis.

The prospects of Suez, however, been a little more pressure with the sale of 70% of Bristol Water in early October for 152 million euros, the group will probably have to make acquisitions of modest size to hope to achieve its objectives.

"The group has not changed its 'guidance', confident in its ability to fill the air hole as part of its policy of rotation of assets.Does this mean that the probability of transaction (s) reasonably sized acquisitions currently under consideration (s) by the management is high? "Questioned in a note to analysts at Natixis.

"We would not be surprised (…), even if its strategic focus is on organic growth," they add.

Julien Desmaretz, Suez Environnement would need to buy at least 650 million euros in assets, enterprise value, to achieve its objectives in 2012.

"Better prepared"

The group may also consider to increase its efforts in saving a lever that allowed him to limit the damage after the crisis of late 2008, while the slowdown in activity in its industrial and commercial customers affected volumes and its margins.

But having already held in February the objectives of its savings program for 2010-2012, which it expects a net gain of RBE 300 million in cumulative over three years, some analysts estimate that Suez Environnement has now limited room for maneuver.

"Given the bad experience of late 2008, management is probably better prepared for a new fall of the economy," notes, however, Yohann Terry.

In terms of dividend, the company said in February that it was an annual increase of about 5% for the years 2011 to 2013, a policy that the economy could again challenge.

"If the growth in consumption expenditure of municipalities, industrial production and commodity prices were to decline, the purpose of dividend growth would probably be revised down due to the impact on EPS and therefore the payout "said Yohann Terry.

Some analysts believe however that the group will continue to better withstand the stock market as Veolia, which has abandoned its goals this summer and in December will detail restructuring measures designed to make it more profitable.

Since the beginning of the year, the action Suez Environnement has lost 25.8% and Veolia has plunged 47%, while the CAC 40 fell by 15.11%.

Ways to encourage sustainable economic recovery are dwindling, the executive director warned Friday the International Monetary Fund (IMF) Christine Lagarde.

In an article published in the German daily Handelsblatt, the Commission considers that there are still shortcomings in the regulation of the financial system and that "indecision and dysfunctional policies" threaten to undermine the recovery in developed economies.

"I think there is a path to sustainable recovery, even if this path is narrower than before and continues to shrink," writes Christine Lagarde.

The former French Minister of Economy Again, the weak balance sheets posted by the banks and the U.S. are fueling a crisis of credibility which in turn undermines growth.

"This vicious cycle is gaining momentum and has been aggravated by political indecision and failure," she writes, calling for international solutions to resolve the debt crisis and systemic risks.

Wall Street closed down Tuesday but reduced its losses quite considerably.

The Dow Jones lost 100.20 points (0.89%) to 11,140.06. The S & P 500 drops 8.67 points (0.74%) to 1165.30. The Nasdaq Composite Index gives 6.50 points (0.26%) to 2473.83.

These data are likely to vary even slightly.

The new CEO does not rule Eiffage sale or closure of loss-making subsidiaries to consolidate the early resumption of the performance of the construction group observed in the first half.

Peter Berger, the designated successor of the president and founder of the number five European construction and concessions Jean-François Roverato, also announced for the energy division Forclum a savings plan to reduce by 3 to 4% overhead by 2013-2014.

"We will, on public works sectors, particularly energy, continue and even intensify our efforts and recovery plans so that the performances, which are stabilized, can go up significantly," said Peter Berger in a meeting with analysts.

"I do not exclude in particular on non-strategic subsidiaries deficit repeatedly stops or transfers," he added.

Eiffage, whose margins were negatively impacted in recent years by economic conditions and difficulties in the execution of certain contracts, including hospitals, also assured that he would in future be more selective in order intake .

"We anticipate a marked increase in free cash flow, the best three years, and therefore reduced our net debt due to a combination of debt reduction highways that will continue and the sale of certain assets that are PPP mature, "added Peter Berger.

RESUMPTION OF ACTIVITY CONFIRMED

Eiffage end of June showed a net debt to total 14.42 billion euros, 13.6 billion of debt lodged in the concessions.Autoroutes Paris Rhin Rhône conducted in the first half to three bond issues, the first step in the process of refinancing debt in February 2006 when privatisaton of French motorways.

"We will begin September 13 and 12 talks with banks to begin the process of refinancing Eiffarie and APRR, our goal is to finish the first quarter of 2012, that is to say again in advance before the final deadline is early 2013, "continued Pierre Berger.

Eiffage confirmed its objective of a return to growth in its turnover this year in view of a first half marked by an upturn after two consecutive years of contraction over the same period.

The group identified the first six months of the year an EBIT of 451 million euros, up 9.5% thanks to strong margin growth in the concessions. Its order book grew by 5% year on year.

In contrast, bond issues made by APRR in the first half came to adding to the financial burden of the company, bringing to 43 million euros against 70 million a year earlier net income, group share, a drop of 38 6%.

Prior to publication, the action Eiffage closed up sharply (7.48% to 33.90 euros), giving a market capitalization of around three billion euros. Since the beginning of the year, the title has sold about 4%, after declining 16% over the whole of 2010.