Business & Financial News

Vallourec has revised downwards its growth forecast Thursday in turnover this year after beginning the exercise penalized by a demand remained weak markets as electrical energy and the automobile.

The producer of seamless steel tubes are now waiting for the current year to grow by about 5% of its turnover, while initially provided an increase of order of 10%.

In the first three months of the year, sales came out at 1.199 million euros, up 4% from first quarter 2011 but a contraction of 23% over the last quarter of 2011.

Its operating profit margin stood at 12.7% at end-March 2012, against 16.4% in the fourth quarter and 17.7% in Q1 2011. 

"What we see today is that the macroeconomic environment in Europe remains very uncertain and demand in markets outside oil and gas remains low," said Olivier Mallet , CFO of Vallourec in a conference call.

"(Demand) is well below our expectations at the beginning of the year," he added. "And if there was a slight rise in orders since January, it is below what was expected and visibility remains limited."

The group warned last February, on the occasion of the presentation of its annual results, expect a further decline in margin in 2012 due to the costs of de ; boot of his new plants.

Vallourec says still expect a "slight improvement" of its gross operating margin over the next three quarters, reaching a 15% margin over the full year.

At the Paris Bourse, the Vallourec share price closed before the quarterly earnings release, to 42.865 euros, up 1.46%.

The Supreme Court could reverse the conviction of Total over 12 years near the wreck of the tanker Erika off the Brittany coast in 1999, reported Friday Liberation and Ouest-France.

The highest French court, which must rule on May 24, could simply cancel the entire procedure conducted since the disaster in December 1999, according to two dailies.

Senior judges make this recommendation in their conclusions with the main argument that the wreck, which caused the pollution of 400 km of coastline, has not occurred in French waters, writes Libération ration and Ouest-France.

The Erika disaster led to two trials in 2007 at trial and on appeal in 2009. The judgment established each time the liability of defendants, which the charterer Total.

The oil company could not be contacted immediately to make a comment.

European shares move in a disorganized mid-session after opening up while Wall Street is expected to have eased slightly.

In Paris the CAC 40 was down 0.15% (-4.99 points) to 3,418.82 points. In Frankfurt, the DAX rose 0.29% and London, the FTSE is virtually unchanged. The pan-European index Stoxx 50 was down 0.40%.

The index futures point to a New York opening spreads from Wall Street while the purchasing managers' index for manufacturing (ISM) will be published at 1400 GMT.

In Paris, Total continues to rebound and earn 1.27% after the announcement that British authorities will receive Monday representatives of the company to consider a proposal to send a team of experts on its platform of Elgin in the North Sea which had to be evacuated due to gas leak. The revelation of the leak on March 26 led to a drop of nearly 7% of Total's share price, the last week, despite a rebound of a , 06% Friday after the announcement of the termination of a flare which casts a risk of explosion of the installation.

PSA Peugeot Citroen fell by 3.77% after announcing a fall of 33.2% over twelve months of its new car registrations in France in March, while Renault sells 1 76% after a decline of 29.8% over the same period against -23.5% for the whole French market.

Cimpor jumped nearly 9% in mid-session after the announcement Friday by the second group of Brazilian Camargo Correa construction of its intention to launch a bid for 68.1% capital of the Portuguese cement that does not already own. 

Originally worn by an official index of purchasing managers in China better than expected and reassuring thought on the growth of the first Asian economy, some European equity markets are ironed in led by the red squares of the peripheral countries of the south.

Information from press reports that the Bundesbank planned to take over the paper in several countries, including Portugal, have weighed heavily on the places of southern Europe, before being denied by the Institute of German issue.

The acceleration of the contraction of manufacturing in the euro area in March, reinforcing fears of a recession within the bloc while the slowdown has spread to Germany and France, has also affected the trend.

This is a Rupert Murdoch angry that went against the attack Thursday against the "enemies" who accuse his media group News Corp. to have hacked his rivals, calling them "aristos and conservatives "finding their privileges of the last century.

Already weakened by the scandal of illegal wiretapping in Britain, News Corp. is in the center of new allegations made in Britain and Australia that a subsidiary of would have had the mission of promoting piracy of pay TV channels competing.

The Australian Financial Review reported Wednesday that News Corp. had made use of Operational Security, a subsidiary established in the mid 1990s, to sabotage its competitors. The Panorama program, broadcast earlier this week in Britain by the BBC, had already reported similar suspicions.

Operational Security was a branch of NDS, a subsidiary of News Corps specializes in signal encryption, a crucial activity for pay-TV channels.

News Corp. as NDS, exit from the orbit of the Murdoch group, pitted categorical denials to the allegations.

"It seems that each of our competitors and enemies accumulate lies and slander," wrote Rupert Murdoch on his Twitter account Thursday, adding that the response was being prepared and would be severe. 

News Corp., whose activities span the spectrum of media and whose power is said to be able to make or break political careers, is subjected to very high criticism since the scandal broke wiretaps in Britain who notably led to the closure of the tabloid News of the World last summer.

But faced with these new charges, Murdoch, who confessed last July to a parliamentary committee having lived "the most humiliating day of his life", seems to have opted for a response from any other type .

Always on the microblogging site, he believes his "enemies have different aims" but they are "the worst old aristocrats and conservatives who want to preserve the status quo of the last century with their monopolies ". For a staunch Republican such as Murdoch, "aristo" comes under heavy insult.

THE BBC AND MAINTAIN THEIR AUSTRALIAN FINANCIAL REVIEW INFORMATION

But the BBC, which was repeatedly in trouble with BSkyB, whose News Corp. owns 39% stake, maintained Thursday the revelations of the magazine Panorama.

"We received the letter and have knowledge of NDS by News Corp's rejection of the revelations of Panorama. However, emails released this issue have not been manipulated, contrary to claims that NDS, and nothing (…) does not minimize the evidence released es in this issue, "said the public channel

. At the opposite, the Australian Financial Review, property group Fairfax Media, chief rival of Murdoch in the Australian press, has also maintained its information

. "Fully secured to the extraordinary investigation Neil Chenoweth, "the journalist who released the information, Michael Stutchbury, editor of the Australian Financial Review, said the newspaper was" in no way motivated by any desire either to harm a rival financial group that manages the Financial Review ". "We only cover a case and publish what we found," he said.

No evidence uncovered by the BBC as the Australian Financial Review to suggest that Murdoch or any senior executive of News Corp were not aware of practices lent to NDS.

According to the Australian Financial Review, Operational Security reportedly recruited hackers to decipher codes or access cards provided by pay TV competitors to their subscribers. These codes were then distributed on the black market via "yes cards" to monitor programs encrypted channels without paying a penny.

The Australian Financial Review, which suggests a shortfall amounting to millions of dollars, said particular rely on 14,400 emails retrieved from the hard drive of a laptop that used it Ray Adams, responsible for Europe NDS Operational Security from January 1996 to May 2002.

Monday, a report broadcast by the BBC as part of its documentary program Panorama has ensured that NDS hired a consultant to broadcast via its website access codes to ITV Digital, a competitor to Sky TV , chain that belonged to Murdoch. 

ITV Digital, which has accumulated difficulties at launch (rivalry between shareholders, lack of flagship programs, price war with BSkyB), disappeared in 2002.

The gas leak on a Total deposits in the North Sea will be expensive to French oil group, but the situation seems out of proportion to the oil spill in 2010 in the Gulf of Mexico after the explosion of a BP platform.

Analysts polled by Reuters, the cost for Total could be limited to $ 150 million (113 million) if the leak was quickly clogged, or otherwise be at least $ 10 billion if the platform of the Elgin-Franklin field eventually explode.

Total has not ruled on Tuesday that the repair takes several weeks or up to six months, and keen Wednesday the exact cause of the leak. 

The prospect of a distant deadline for resolving the industrial crisis, the worst that Total has seen since the sinking of the Erika in 1999 and the explosion at the AZF factory in 2001, brutally brought down the stock market as Tuesday. The stock has lost 5.96%, leading to the Group's market capitalization plunge of about six billion euros.

Total lost the title still nearly 1% to 38.23 euros on Wednesday afternoon.

"Although it is far too early to make a reliable assessment of the impact of the leak (…) for Total, one can estimate a minimum cost of 150 to 200 million dollars in the best case (limited to two weeks off) or even more if the current situation was to last several months, "CM-CIC Securities.

While the field of Elgin-Franklin alone accounted for 2.5% of total production in 2011, the intermediary also assesses the shortfall for the group between 3 , 6 and 5 million per day shutdown of operations. 

LESS STRICT LAWS IN THE UK

Drilling a relief well could cost him only $ 44 million, assesses his side Exane BNP Paribas.

Analysts at Bank of America Merrill Lynch, if an explosion had finally held, "the impact could reach $ 10 billion" for Total.

This amount includes the loss of deposits and the platform and nearly deus billion to clean up environmental damage, but excludes any fines.

Most observers point out however that the situation on the Elgin-Franklin field is not nearly as critical as that of the Deepwater Horizon, in the Gulf of Mexico, including the explosion and sinking had made eleven dead in April 2010 and resulted in a serious oil spill. 

In total, the British BP has had to make provision for $ 37.2 billion deal with the consequences of this accident.

While nine million barrels of crude oil escaped from the Macondo well drilled on behalf of BP after the accident, analysts point out that only gas and products "light" is e ; chappent the Elgin wells, which should significantly reduce pollution.

Some further notes that the economic activity of the British coast is less important than the U.S. states bordering the Gulf of Mexico and the United Kingdom has not yet introduced legislation involving sanctions as severe as those imposed by the United States in case of water pollution.

"We do not expect major Total incur fines or provisions that must pass (…) As important as those of BP in the case of Macondo, "estimated the Exane BNP Paribas analysts

." This kind of accident is often unpredictable and difficult to resolve. Nevertheless, we think the probability is low to see the leak reach crisis proportions comparable to Deepwater Horizon, "he wrote on his side Fitch ……. According

.. rating agency, Total should maintain its AA credit rating even in the event of complete closure of the deposit of Elgin.

Countries in the euro area officially approved on Wednesday a second aid plan, 130 billion euros, which will allow Greece to finance until 2014, said pre , chairman of the Eurogroup Jean-Claude Juncker said in a statement.

"The Member States of the euro area today formally approved the second adjustment program for Greece. All required procedures and national parliamentarians were conducted, "he said

. The countries of the euro area also authorized the European Financial Stability Fund (EFSF) to conduct an initial payment of € 39.4 billion following this plan, which will be spread in several tranches, he said

. The official conclusion of the procedure follows the political agreement reached by the Eurogroup (Minister Finance of the euro zone) Monday to pay more money to Greece

.

The U.S. economy created 227,000 jobs in February. The unemployment rate remained at its lowest level in three years, to 8.3%.

The U.S. in February saw another month of massive hiring, confirming the scenario of a widespread economic recovery. The government says the country has indeed created 227,000 more jobs than it removed in February, which is higher than the net balance of 206,000 that gave the median forecast of analysts. Job creation are well above 200,000 for the third consecutive month. The Department has revised upward its estimate of 17% of new jobs in January, to 284,000, and the net hiring in February and is down 20% over the month.

The hires were not enough to lower unemployment, which remained at 8.3%, its lowest level for three years, according to official figures released Friday in Washington. In theory, the strength of job creation should lead to lower unemployment. This has not occurred because the labor force increased as much (0.3% compared to January) that the number of employed persons, according to government figures. The labor force declined in November and December, to rise for the second straight month in February could be a sign of improving labor market and show that the unemployed until then recover discouraged to seek employment. Department figures do not enable to determine at first glance from the increased labor force in February due to the influx of young people on the labor market and those related to the return of unemployed among its members.  

Department figures show that in February, employment increased in all sectors except retail trade, construction and public service. In the latter, job losses, which are the norm for over a year, have slowed considerably since there were only 6,000 per month from December to February, against over 20,000 of September to November. The employment report further states that the average hourly wage increased by 0.1% from January, to 23.31 dollars. On a year, says the Ministry, the increase in hourly wages was 1.9% which remains below its last measure of inflation (2.9% yoy in January).

The deficit of Spain represented 8.51% of GDP in 2011, said Monday the Finance Minister Cristobal Montoro.

A first estimate gave 8.2% and the upward revision is mainly due to exceedances of regional budgets.

Montoro said that this figure of 8.51% was also provisional and would be circulated for consideration by the European Commission.

The objective of Madrid in 2012 is a deficit of 4.4% of GDP.

In 2010, the deficit represented 9.3% of GDP.

An alliance between General Motors and PSA, again become the world's number one automotive manufacturer would give the French a boost out of Europe and could be the beginning of a solution to the crisis that the two groups across the Old Continent.

Whatever the form, such a comparison would allow PSA, the first French manufacturer and the second European to catch up in Latin America and India, where his difficulties financially res of 2011 forced him to postpone investments and where GM is well established, and would open the doors to a full recovery in the U.S. market.

It would also allow synergies and economies of scale in development and procurement of components. 

"GM would offer in addition to PSA an interesting position in Asia, where it remains the market leader and of course the United States. PSA would give him back his competence on small gasoline engines and on frame (small cars), "summarizes CMC-CIC Securities in a note.

"But there are still several uncertainties (…) This alliance, if it occurs, must proceed rapidly to large reductions in overcapacity in Europe," added the intermediary.

A reconciliation between the two manufacturers, more competitive than complementary in Europe, would in effect add to the 12 assembly plants that PSA currently has on the continent to the eight that account Opel, unless opportunities rationalization arise.

Overcapacity in the European market is estimated around 20%. Applying this arithmetic to 20 plants of PSA and Opel, should close four sites.

FEARS ON THE USE OF LUTON IN MADRID

PSA has been facing for the summer to a fall in sales in Europe, including the city car segment, where the price war is raging. This has led its automotive division into the red last year, the difficulties that echo those of Opel, the European brand of General Motors.

"Opel and PSA are both in trouble because they have excess capacity in small cars in Europe, it is unlikely to us that a reconciliation helps to reduce these pressures, "said Kristina Church, auto analyst at Barclays Capital.

On the sidelines of the launch of production of the new Peugeot 208, Opel Corsa's rival, Philippe Varin, chief executive of SAP, announced in late January it was seeking a partner in commercial vehicles to replace Fiat has not renewed his association with the plant Sevelnord. 

Opel would be an ideal candidate, especially since he will find himself very lonely after the transfer, by his current partner Renault, the production of future truck traffic of their joint plant to that of British Sandouville.

PSA and Opel could also pool their platforms very small city, where the battle on costs is the hardest. Opel Agila produced in Hungary, and PSA Citroen C1 and Peugeot 107 in a Czech factory whose production will be reduced by 18% from May due to degradation of the application.

On the other segments, whose production is more established in France and Germany for PSA for Opel, the subject will be more delicate. Side of the French manufacturer, sites whose future seems most uncertain are those of Aulnay-sous-Bois, which produces C3, and Madrid (C3 and 207).

Opel has meanwhile already closed its plant in Antwerp (Belgium), one of only three car plants that have disappeared or will disappear since the 2008 crisis, with the Sicilian site of Fiat and Mitsubishi plant in the Netherlands.

"Europe remains the key, and any form of alliance with GM, Opel also has its own capacity problems in Europe), PSA will not help," said Kristina Church. "PSA should focus on its own problems in this area (…) even if it probably will not be easy in an election year in France."

The government has already warned that it would be vigilant about the benefits of an alliance in employment, ten days after the controversy surrounding the inauguration a new Renault plant in Morocco.

Pernod Ricard noted Thursday its goal of operating income growth for the 2011-2012 fiscal year after the publication of interim results better than expected thanks to its performance in countries é mergents and strategy for its upmarket spirits.

During the six months to end December, the world's second largest wine and spirits behind the British Diageo posted an operating profit (ROC) of 1.379 million euros, up 17% organic growth, above the consensus of 1,326.8 million euros set by the editor of Reuters.

Its net income group share grew by 16% to 843 million, for a turnover of 4.614 million (4,623.7 million forecast by analysts) an increase of 8%. Organic growth was 11% (10.7% expected).

Confidence in the continuation of these trends, the wine and spirits group now expects organic growth in annual operating income of nearly 8%, against 6% so far, and a Net debt / EBITDA close to 3.9 at June 30, 2012, against four previously.

Pernod Ricard shows a net debt / EBITDA of 3.9 to 4.4 against 31 December 2011 to 30 June 2011.